Columbia
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
278  Erin Gillingham SR 20:32
280  Clare Buck SR 20:33
331  Mallory Anderson SR 20:40
358  Leila Mantilla FR 20:43
375  Caroline Williams JR 20:45
471  Noelle Van Rysselberghe SR 20:55
544  Emily Lanois SR 21:02
709  Sarah Eagan JR 21:14
800  Aryn Foland SO 21:20
910  Olivia Sadler FR 21:27
934  Molly Dengler JR 21:30
956  Anne Carey SO 21:31
967  Chelsea Carrick JR 21:31
1,014  Danika Simonson JR 21:35
1,235  Irene Kalbian SR 21:50
1,349  Emily Krasinski FR 21:56
1,449  Madeline Rathbun SO 22:04
1,654  Lexi Schustrom JR 22:16
1,883  Trish Reilly SR 22:30
2,033  Trina Bills SR 22:41
2,314  Emma Giantisco JR 23:01
2,977  Nicole Bauer SO 23:57
National Rank #59 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #10 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.9%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.4%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 8.3%
Top 10 in Regional 79.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erin Gillingham Clare Buck Mallory Anderson Leila Mantilla Caroline Williams Noelle Van Rysselberghe Emily Lanois Sarah Eagan Aryn Foland Olivia Sadler Molly Dengler
Metropolitan Conference Championships 10/05 947 20:29 20:41 20:38 21:01 21:26
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 898 20:45 20:35 20:49 21:00 20:25 21:03 21:31
Princeton Invitational (I) 10/13 1133 21:00 20:56 21:15 21:26
Ivy League Championships 10/27 820 20:34 20:36 20:30 20:38 20:36 20:49 21:07 21:22 21:39 21:24 21:38
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 832 20:15 20:24 20:58 20:36 20:54 20:55 21:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.9% 26.3 601 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5
Region Championship 100% 8.8 240 0.1 0.4 2.5 5.4 7.9 11.1 13.5 17.3 21.4 12.8 5.7 1.6 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Gillingham 4.4% 147.4
Clare Buck 4.2% 142.7
Mallory Anderson 3.1% 158.5
Leila Mantilla 3.1% 168.8
Caroline Williams 3.0% 176.0
Noelle Van Rysselberghe 2.9% 197.1
Emily Lanois 2.9% 210.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Gillingham 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.6
Clare Buck 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.3
Mallory Anderson 49.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
Leila Mantilla 53.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4
Caroline Williams 56.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Noelle Van Rysselberghe 66.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Emily Lanois 72.8 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.4% 85.7% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 3
4 2.5% 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.2 1.2 4
5 5.4% 16.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.5 0.9 5
6 7.9% 3.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.6 0.3 6
7 11.1% 0.9% 0.0 0.1 11.0 0.1 7
8 13.5% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 13.5 0.0 8
9 17.3% 17.3 9
10 21.4% 21.4 10
11 12.8% 12.8 11
12 5.7% 5.7 12
13 1.6% 1.6 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 2.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.1 97.1 0.1 2.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Dartmouth 7.5% 2.0 0.1
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0