Harvard
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
170  Emily Reese JR 20:18
194  Morgan Kelly JR 20:22
202  Sammy Silva JR 20:22
222  Viviana Hanley SO 20:25
484  Alaina Alvarez SO 20:57
777  Jen Guidera FR 21:19
1,182  Bri Jackucewicz JR 21:46
1,216  Selena Pasadyn FR 21:49
1,218  Molly Renfer SO 21:49
1,261  Paige Kouba FR 21:51
1,614  Marissa Shoji SO 22:14
1,732  Lauren DiNicola JR 22:21
1,831  Whitney Thornburg SO 22:27
2,558  Kieran Gallagher FR 23:20
2,685  Lucy McCullough SO 23:29
2,953  Emma Payne FR 23:55
National Rank #41 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #8 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 14.5%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.4%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 29.6%
Top 10 in Regional 94.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Reese Morgan Kelly Sammy Silva Viviana Hanley Alaina Alvarez Jen Guidera Bri Jackucewicz Selena Pasadyn Molly Renfer Paige Kouba Marissa Shoji
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 1006 20:14 20:51 20:59 21:21 21:54 22:41
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 733 20:13 20:24 20:19 20:27 21:04 21:18 22:11
Princeton Invitational (I) 10/13 1240 21:31 21:48 21:48 22:14
Ivy League Championships 10/27 741 20:25 20:28 20:03 20:32 21:01 21:36 22:00 21:52 21:24
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 613 20:01 20:17 20:27 20:10 20:38 21:07 21:40
NCAA Championship 11/17 813 20:35 20:23 20:50 20:13 20:56 21:17 22:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 14.5% 24.5 565 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.7
Region Championship 100% 6.8 196 0.0 0.2 1.9 9.8 17.6 19.4 16.4 13.2 9.5 6.5 3.6 1.5 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Reese 22.4% 120.5
Morgan Kelly 18.9% 132.2
Sammy Silva 18.1% 128.4
Viviana Hanley 16.9% 136.1
Alaina Alvarez 14.5% 210.5
Jen Guidera 14.5% 239.6
Bri Jackucewicz 14.5% 250.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Reese 26.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.5 2.3 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.8
Morgan Kelly 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.7
Sammy Silva 30.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.7 2.7 2.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1
Viviana Hanley 33.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.8 2.6
Alaina Alvarez 67.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jen Guidera 91.2
Bri Jackucewicz 123.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 1.9% 86.3% 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 3
4 9.8% 59.2% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 4.0 5.8 4
5 17.6% 21.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 13.9 3.8 5
6 19.4% 7.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 17.9 1.5 6
7 16.4% 7.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 15.2 1.2 7
8 13.2% 1.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.0 0.2 8
9 9.5% 0.6% 0.1 9.4 0.1 9
10 6.5% 6.5 10
11 3.6% 3.6 11
12 1.5% 1.5 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 14.5% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.4 3.1 85.5 0.3 14.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Yale 24.0% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 2.0 0.1
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0