Morehead State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,149  Anya Martinez SR 21:44
1,920  Holly Mandzak SR 22:32
1,985  Natalie Norman SR 22:37
2,053  Lauren Tarovisky FR 22:42
2,068  Krystal Williams SO 22:43
2,141  Laurie Stoutenburgh SR 22:48
2,381  Erica Parks FR 23:05
2,470  Morgan Lira FR 23:12
2,483  Parker Winters JR 23:13
National Rank #229 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #34 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 34th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Anya Martinez Holly Mandzak Natalie Norman Lauren Tarovisky Krystal Williams Laurie Stoutenburgh Erica Parks Morgan Lira Parker Winters
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) 09/29 1271 21:47 22:17 22:27 22:38 22:49 23:17 23:13
OVC Championships 10/27 1270 21:48 22:31 22:23 22:39 22:52 22:46 23:11 23:12
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 1284 21:37 22:57 23:22 22:46 22:41 22:49 22:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 33.5 928 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.7 5.1 7.9



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Anya Martinez 122.7
Holly Mandzak 196.0
Natalie Norman 201.7
Lauren Tarovisky 208.3
Krystal Williams 210.1
Laurie Stoutenburgh 215.6
Erica Parks 233.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 0.0% 0.0 20
21 21
22 0.0% 0.0 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 0.2% 0.2 25
26 0.4% 0.4 26
27 0.9% 0.9 27
28 1.4% 1.4 28
29 2.7% 2.7 29
30 5.1% 5.1 30
31 7.9% 7.9 31
32 10.6% 10.6 32
33 14.5% 14.5 33
34 19.7% 19.7 34
35 17.1% 17.1 35
36 11.8% 11.8 36
37 7.0% 7.0 37
38 0.5% 0.5 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0