New Mexico
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
42  Josephine Moultrie SR 19:40
83  Charlotte Arter JR 19:57
106  Lacey Oeding SR 20:03
282  Shawna Winnegar SR 20:33
346  Kirsten Follett SO 20:42
370  Imogen Ainsworth SR 20:45
548  Chloe Anderson JR 21:02
837  Janna Mitsos JR 21:22
953  Sophia Torres SO 21:30
1,025  Samantha Shepard SO 21:36
National Rank #17 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #2 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.1%
Most Likely Finish 19th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 10.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 61.8%


Regional Champion 24.6%
Top 5 in Regional 99.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Josephine Moultrie Charlotte Arter Lacey Oeding Shawna Winnegar Kirsten Follett Imogen Ainsworth Chloe Anderson Janna Mitsos Sophia Torres Samantha Shepard
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 657 19:50 20:23 20:22 20:40 20:34 20:53 21:03 21:31 21:30
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 559 19:30 19:58 20:09 20:41 20:46 20:47 21:13
Mountain West Championships 10/26 616 20:15 20:02 20:00 20:40 20:53 20:41 20:43 20:50 21:36
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 489 19:30 19:58 20:11 20:16 20:38 20:51 21:40
NCAA Championship 11/17 416 19:32 19:44 19:50 20:20 20:38 20:33 21:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.1% 18.3 460 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.7 4.7 4.4 5.1 5.8 5.6 5.7 5.7 6.1 4.7 4.9 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.3 3.6 3.3 2.4 2.1 1.7 0.8
Region Championship 100% 2.2 94 24.6 38.5 27.8 7.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josephine Moultrie 99.6% 43.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.4 1.5
Charlotte Arter 98.1% 81.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
Lacey Oeding 98.1% 98.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Shawna Winnegar 98.1% 178.1
Kirsten Follett 98.1% 198.6
Imogen Ainsworth 98.1% 205.1
Chloe Anderson 98.1% 232.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josephine Moultrie 4.9 2.5 8.1 11.0 14.4 16.3 14.2 11.4 8.2 5.5 3.5 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Charlotte Arter 9.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.5 6.0 9.7 11.6 11.5 10.4 9.5 7.5 5.9 4.5 3.3 2.7 1.9 1.6 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
Lacey Oeding 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.1 5.2 6.5 8.4 10.1 9.5 9.7 8.5 7.2 4.8 4.7 4.0 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.9 1.1 0.5
Shawna Winnegar 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 1.5 2.1 1.6 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.9 3.5
Kirsten Follett 37.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.3 2.0 2.1 2.0
Imogen Ainsworth 40.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4
Chloe Anderson 56.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 24.6% 100.0% 24.6 24.6 1
2 38.5% 100.0% 38.5 38.5 2
3 27.8% 100.0% 0.1 0.5 2.4 6.8 7.8 5.5 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 27.8 3
4 7.0% 98.9% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.9 4
5 1.6% 12.5% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.2 5
6 0.4% 0.4 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 98.1% 24.6 38.5 0.1 0.5 2.5 7.4 9.2 7.4 4.4 2.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.9 63.1 35.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 98.0% 1.0 1.0
Connecticut 97.5% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 87.8% 1.0 0.9
Toledo 71.9% 1.0 0.7
Boston College 68.1% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 53.9% 2.0 1.1
UCLA 39.1% 1.0 0.4
San Francisco 27.7% 1.0 0.3
Yale 24.0% 1.0 0.2
SMU 23.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 2.0 0.3
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 2.0 0.2
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 3.7% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 2.9% 2.0 0.1
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 2.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.4
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 16.0