Northern Arizona
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
59  Rochelle Kanuho SR 19:48
410  Agnes Laurent SR 20:49
454  Rolonda Jumbo FR 20:53
612  Melanie Townsend FR 21:07
823  Kylee Kieser SO 21:22
1,035  Lauren Justus SO 21:36
1,204  Kerri Lenihan SO 21:48
1,670  Sarah Raber JR 22:18
2,670  Sarah Baker SO 23:28
National Rank #65 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #8 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.2%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 6.7%
Top 10 in Regional 96.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rochelle Kanuho Agnes Laurent Rolonda Jumbo Melanie Townsend Kylee Kieser Lauren Justus Kerri Lenihan Sarah Raber Sarah Baker
Grand Canyon University Invitational 10/06 1477 22:36 26:49 26:49
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 860 19:44 20:23 20:52 21:36 21:29 21:33
Big Sky Championships 10/27 988 20:02 22:11 20:37 21:32 21:57 21:55 22:04 22:16
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 905 19:53 20:39 21:11 21:03 21:04 21:29 21:21
NCAA Championship 11/17 19:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.2% 29.1 661 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 8.0 230 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.6 9.7 16.7 25.5 24.9 13.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rochelle Kanuho 81.3% 58.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7
Agnes Laurent 0.2% 167.5
Rolonda Jumbo 0.2% 180.3
Melanie Townsend 0.2% 217.5
Kylee Kieser 0.2% 231.5
Lauren Justus 0.2% 245.5
Kerri Lenihan 0.2% 250.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rochelle Kanuho 6.7 0.8 2.8 5.7 8.2 10.9 12.7 12.4 11.8 9.5 7.5 5.1 3.4 2.4 2.3 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Agnes Laurent 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.1
Rolonda Jumbo 47.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7
Melanie Townsend 59.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Kylee Kieser 71.2
Lauren Justus 82.2
Kerri Lenihan 91.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.2% 50.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3
4 1.8% 1.8 4
5 4.6% 0.9% 0.0 0.0 4.6 0.0 5
6 9.7% 9.7 6
7 16.7% 16.7 7
8 25.5% 25.5 8
9 24.9% 24.9 9
10 13.4% 13.4 10
11 2.3% 2.3 11
12 0.6% 0.6 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0