UMBC
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,533  Cody Mezebish JR 22:09
1,991  Nicole Dawson FR 22:37
2,007  Julie Gessler SO 22:39
2,126  Sarah Daly FR 22:47
2,139  Alyse Gibson SO 22:48
2,151  Kirsten McGovern JR 22:49
2,315  Harmony Roche FR 23:01
2,566  Angelina Oputa FR 23:20
2,825  Lynne Deckel FR 23:42
3,036  Mary Katherine Kulp SO 24:04
3,578  Holly Cook FR 25:57
3,639  Essence Fredericks FR 26:17
National Rank #243 of 339
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #23 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 24th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 2.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cody Mezebish Nicole Dawson Julie Gessler Sarah Daly Alyse Gibson Kirsten McGovern Harmony Roche Angelina Oputa Lynne Deckel Mary Katherine Kulp Holly Cook
Mason Invitational 09/29 1272 22:04 22:22 22:59 22:34 22:30 22:48 23:51 24:08 24:02 26:15
Princeton Invitational (I) 10/13 1278 22:08 22:33 22:35 22:51 22:34 22:58 22:49 23:07 23:30 23:47
Princeton Invitational (II) 10/13 25:47
American East Championships 10/27 1294 22:17 22:43 22:41 23:02 23:01 22:38 23:38 23:07 23:36 24:27
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/09 1332 22:58 22:27 22:37 23:16 23:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.2 715 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.9 4.3 8.4 17.6 23.3 19.4 13.3 7.5 2.7 0.7 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cody Mezebish 113.8
Nicole Dawson 148.1
Julie Gessler 149.4
Sarah Daly 157.0
Alyse Gibson 158.1
Kirsten McGovern 158.4
Harmony Roche 168.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.5% 0.5 19
20 1.9% 1.9 20
21 4.3% 4.3 21
22 8.4% 8.4 22
23 17.6% 17.6 23
24 23.3% 23.3 24
25 19.4% 19.4 25
26 13.3% 13.3 26
27 7.5% 7.5 27
28 2.7% 2.7 28
29 0.7% 0.7 29
30 0.0% 0.0 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0