UNC-Asheville
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
578  Emma Bussard SR 21:04
1,260  Melanie Kulesz JR 21:51
2,074  Erin Dalton FR 22:44
2,203  Kelsie Rubino FR 22:52
2,341  Adrian Etheridge SR 23:02
2,457  Scarlett Beamon FR 23:11
2,673  Clair Powell SR 23:28
2,698  Rachel Carson JR 23:30
3,172  Alyssa Lashway FR 24:25
National Rank #214 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #31 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emma Bussard Melanie Kulesz Erin Dalton Kelsie Rubino Adrian Etheridge Scarlett Beamon Clair Powell Rachel Carson Alyssa Lashway
UNC-Asheville/ACA Meet 09/29 1292 21:32 21:52 22:58 22:49 23:15 24:01 23:18 24:25
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1227 20:59 21:30 22:55 22:29 23:04 22:38 23:21 23:42 24:26
Big South Championships 10/27 1256 20:55 22:07 22:44 23:01 23:11 23:12 23:20 23:26
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 1278 21:07 21:56 22:31 22:59 23:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 30.7 851 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.1 4.0 7.2 12.2 16.1 16.7



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Bussard 57.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Melanie Kulesz 134.9
Erin Dalton 210.2
Kelsie Rubino 220.2
Adrian Etheridge 230.2
Scarlett Beamon 238.6
Clair Powell 255.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 20
21 0.0% 0.0 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 0.3% 0.3 23
24 0.7% 0.7 24
25 1.5% 1.5 25
26 3.1% 3.1 26
27 4.0% 4.0 27
28 7.2% 7.2 28
29 12.2% 12.2 29
30 16.1% 16.1 30
31 16.7% 16.7 31
32 14.5% 14.5 32
33 12.0% 12.0 33
34 6.6% 6.6 34
35 3.6% 3.6 35
36 1.0% 1.0 36
37 0.4% 0.4 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0