Baylor
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
159  Erin Hegarty SO 20:17
174  Rachel Johnson SO 20:19
425  Mariah Kelly SO 20:50
671  Bree Schrader SO 21:11
1,015  Leah Frazier SR 21:35
1,690  Lauren Hierholzer SO 22:19
1,787  Courtney Cox SO 22:24
2,062  Kim Kirby FR 22:43
2,075  Haleigh Blackwell FR 22:44
2,176  Brittany Ogunmukun SR 22:51
2,192  Erika Overbeck SO 22:52
2,376  Sarah Guhl FR 23:05
2,573  Jenna Henrich FR 23:21
2,879  Kristina Brown JR 23:47
3,015  Lizzy Whitney SR 24:02
3,645  Meredith Jackson FR 26:20
National Rank #67 of 339
South Central Region Rank #4 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.9%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 73.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erin Hegarty Rachel Johnson Mariah Kelly Bree Schrader Leah Frazier Lauren Hierholzer Courtney Cox Kim Kirby Haleigh Blackwell Brittany Ogunmukun Erika Overbeck
Roy Griak Invitational 09/29 858 20:17 19:57 20:48 21:05 22:38 22:26 22:52
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 1028 20:14 20:56 21:01 21:26 22:34 22:45 22:36
Chile Pepper Festival 10/13 1315 22:07 22:24 22:52
Big 12 Championships 10/27 1066 20:25 20:50 21:23 21:34 22:33 22:28 22:48 23:37 23:14 22:52
South Central Region Championships 11/09 1148 21:00 20:50 21:22 21:56 21:59 22:10 22:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.9% 28.7 671 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3
Region Championship 100% 4.9 156 0.5 7.1 38.8 27.4 15.5 7.7 2.2 0.7



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Hegarty 50.2% 124.4 0.0
Rachel Johnson 42.3% 128.7 0.0
Mariah Kelly 1.2% 179.0
Bree Schrader 0.9% 218.8
Leah Frazier 0.9% 241.8
Lauren Hierholzer 0.9% 250.0
Courtney Cox 0.9% 250.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Hegarty 9.8 0.4 0.8 2.9 4.1 5.1 6.5 6.9 8.2 8.8 8.1 8.6 6.5 6.9 5.1 4.3 4.0 3.1 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.4
Rachel Johnson 10.7 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.0 4.5 4.9 6.4 6.3 8.2 8.6 7.4 8.6 6.5 6.3 4.4 4.5 3.5 2.7 2.3 2.3 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.4
Mariah Kelly 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.0 3.4 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.1 4.9
Bree Schrader 42.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0
Leah Frazier 61.5 0.0
Lauren Hierholzer 96.8
Courtney Cox 102.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 2
3 7.1% 5.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.4 3
4 38.8% 38.8 4
5 27.4% 27.4 5
6 15.5% 15.5 6
7 7.7% 7.7 7
8 2.2% 2.2 8
9 0.7% 0.7 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.9% 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1 0.5 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
James Madison 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0