Cal St. Fullerton
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
598  Emily Taylor FR 21:05
1,001  Katie Bathgate SO 21:34
1,389  Lauren McIntyre JR 21:59
1,931  Lexie Bravo SR 22:33
2,025  Casey Candelaria SR 22:40
2,168  Tijerra Lynch SO 22:50
2,232  Natalie Hassna FR 22:54
2,383  Ladan Amiri SO 23:05
2,750  Celinda Manzo SO 23:35
3,362  Emily McVay JR 24:58
3,392  Taylor Reyes JR 25:04
3,469  Tristanie Bjazevich FR 25:21
National Rank #179 of 339
West Region Rank #26 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.5%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Taylor Katie Bathgate Lauren McIntyre Lexie Bravo Casey Candelaria Tijerra Lynch Natalie Hassna Ladan Amiri Celinda Manzo Emily McVay Taylor Reyes
Stanford Invitational 09/29 1237 21:04 21:35 22:08 22:43 22:56 22:53 23:29
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/13 1211 21:07 21:26 21:55 21:57 22:12 22:58 22:36
Titan Invitational 10/19 1544 22:53 23:37 24:58 25:04
Big West Championships 10/27 1237 21:13 21:52 22:29 22:45 22:34 22:51 22:05 23:31
West Region Championships 11/09 1306 22:20 22:03 22:57 22:49 23:28 23:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.3 790 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.3 7.4 9.8 12.6 14.2 14.9 14.7 12.5 5.9 1.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Taylor 90.9
Katie Bathgate 133.7
Lauren McIntyre 162.5
Lexie Bravo 200.4
Casey Candelaria 206.7
Tijerra Lynch 214.6
Natalie Hassna 217.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 0.4% 0.4 20
21 1.6% 1.6 21
22 4.3% 4.3 22
23 7.4% 7.4 23
24 9.8% 9.8 24
25 12.6% 12.6 25
26 14.2% 14.2 26
27 14.9% 14.9 27
28 14.7% 14.7 28
29 12.5% 12.5 29
30 5.9% 5.9 30
31 1.4% 1.4 31
32 0.2% 0.2 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0