California
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
36  Kelsey Santisteban SO 19:38
434  Xochitl Navarrete FR 20:51
582  Mariel Mendoza FR 21:04
624  Hillary Hayes JR 21:08
635  Elisa Karhu JR 21:09
762  Ashlyn Dadkhah FR 21:18
926  Laura O'Neill SO 21:29
1,174  Kathleen Uyttewaal SO 21:46
1,219  Juliana Green JR 21:49
1,275  Rebecka Oberg SO 21:52
1,365  Sydney Gray SO 21:58
2,268  Christine Zavesky SO 22:56
2,692  Samantha Ralstin SO 23:30
3,580  Taylor Lawson SO 25:58
National Rank #64 of 339
West Region Rank #12 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.1%
Top 10 in Regional 22.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kelsey Santisteban Xochitl Navarrete Mariel Mendoza Hillary Hayes Elisa Karhu Ashlyn Dadkhah Laura O'Neill Kathleen Uyttewaal Juliana Green Rebecka Oberg Sydney Gray
Stanford Invitational 09/29 1180 21:27 21:07 21:45 21:56 21:23 21:22
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 943 19:30 20:58 21:25 21:13 21:24 21:35 22:21
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/13 21:12 21:34
Pac-12 Championships 10/27 891 19:38 20:49 20:56 21:06 21:12 21:13 21:30 22:40
Doc Adams Invitational 11/03 22:09
West Region Championships 11/09 891 19:35 20:55 21:06 20:56 21:05 21:17 21:28
NCAA Championship 11/17 19:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 30.0 695 0.0
Region Championship 100% 12.3 358 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.8 7.3 10.1 13.3 15.6 16.2 13.9 10.4 5.3 1.5 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Santisteban 96.7% 39.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.6 2.0
Xochitl Navarrete 0.0% 203.5
Mariel Mendoza 0.0% 187.5
Hillary Hayes 0.0% 208.5
Elisa Karhu 0.0% 216.5
Ashlyn Dadkhah 0.0% 223.5
Laura O'Neill 0.0% 221.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Santisteban 9.8 0.4 1.4 2.9 4.7 5.7 6.7 7.2 8.0 7.0 7.3 6.5 5.6 5.0 5.2 4.6 4.1 3.3 2.5 2.3 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.6
Xochitl Navarrete 69.6 0.0
Mariel Mendoza 88.7 0.0
Hillary Hayes 94.7
Elisa Karhu 96.5
Ashlyn Dadkhah 110.9
Laura O'Neill 127.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 0.5% 0.5 6
7 1.2% 1.7% 0.0 1.2 0.0 7
8 3.8% 3.8 8
9 7.3% 7.3 9
10 10.1% 10.1 10
11 13.3% 13.3 11
12 15.6% 15.6 12
13 16.2% 16.2 13
14 13.9% 13.9 14
15 10.4% 10.4 15
16 5.3% 5.3 16
17 1.5% 1.5 17
18 0.7% 0.7 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0