Central Arkansas
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,433  Stephanie Simpson SO 22:03
1,650  Kayla Nehus JR 22:16
1,691  Erika Setzler JR 22:19
1,718  Courtney Efurd JR 22:20
2,581  Emily Carroll JR 23:21
2,589  Megan Effinger JR 23:22
2,607  Jill Carson SO 23:23
3,042  Carolin Tran FR 24:05
3,224  Elizabeth Wertz JR 24:32
3,227  Abbie Linna FR 24:32
3,373  Cassandra Rosas FR 25:01
3,382  Jordan James FR 25:02
3,402  Sophie Clauss FR 25:06
National Rank #244 of 339
South Central Region Rank #21 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 87.6%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Stephanie Simpson Kayla Nehus Erika Setzler Courtney Efurd Emily Carroll Megan Effinger Jill Carson Carolin Tran Elizabeth Wertz Abbie Linna Cassandra Rosas
TAMUCC Islander Splash 09/28 1267 21:56 22:10 22:35 22:08 23:12 22:56 22:46
Rhodes College Invitational 09/29 1579 24:00 24:32 24:37 25:01
Chile Pepper Festival 10/13 1286 22:09 22:49 22:04 21:55 23:30 23:11 23:23 24:11 23:52 24:27 25:01
Southland Conference Championships 10/26 1294 22:00 22:19 22:14 22:45 23:56 23:49 23:23 25:10
South Central Region Championships 11/09 1281 22:07 21:57 22:28 22:48 23:00 23:46 24:18





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 18.2 515 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.7 4.1 10.5 21.6 21.3 16.0 11.6 8.0 3.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Stephanie Simpson 81.2
Kayla Nehus 94.7
Erika Setzler 97.0
Courtney Efurd 98.1
Emily Carroll 147.7
Megan Effinger 147.8
Jill Carson 148.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 0.5% 0.5 13
14 1.7% 1.7 14
15 4.1% 4.1 15
16 10.5% 10.5 16
17 21.6% 21.6 17
18 21.3% 21.3 18
19 16.0% 16.0 19
20 11.6% 11.6 20
21 8.0% 8.0 21
22 3.8% 3.8 22
23 0.5% 0.5 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 0.0% 0.0 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0