Connecticut
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
37  Allison Lasnicki JR 19:38
45  Lindsay Crevoiserat SO 19:40
74  Lauren Sara JR 19:54
152  Shauna McNiff SR 20:16
188  Julia Zrinyi FR 20:21
880  Kimberly Moran SR 21:25
975  Emily Durgin FR 21:32
1,040  Brigitte Mania JR 21:37
1,209  Allison Cooper SR 21:48
1,628  Laura Williamson FR 22:14
1,786  Abby Mace FR 22:24
1,975  Katherine Vodopia FR 22:36
2,133  Briody Terra SO 22:48
2,546  Emily Howard FR 23:18
2,959  Emily Lewson FR 23:56
National Rank #10 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #2 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.6%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Nationals


National Champion 1.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 16.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 52.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 93.4%


Regional Champion 18.8%
Top 5 in Regional 99.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Allison Lasnicki Lindsay Crevoiserat Lauren Sara Shauna McNiff Julia Zrinyi Kimberly Moran Emily Durgin Brigitte Mania Allison Cooper Laura Williamson Abby Mace
Roy Griak Invitational 09/29 426 19:42 19:36 19:54 20:29 20:23 22:27 22:02 21:50 23:17
All New England Championship 10/07 1312 21:26 22:11
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 603 19:31 19:56 20:28 20:21 21:24 22:30 21:13
CCSU Mini Meet 10/19 1340 22:19
Big East Championships 10/26 403 19:32 19:38 20:00 20:10 20:34 21:15 21:10 22:18 21:39
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 335 19:34 19:54 19:51 20:00 20:13 21:08 21:17
NCAA Championship 11/17 382 19:56 19:39 19:50 20:10 20:16 21:23 21:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.6% 10.7 337 1.0 2.2 3.4 4.6 5.5 6.3 6.4 7.4 8.0 7.5 7.0 6.3 6.2 4.7 4.2 3.5 3.0 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 2.4 86 18.8 37.1 32.0 9.0 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allison Lasnicki 99.9% 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5
Lindsay Crevoiserat 99.7% 44.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.6 1.2
Lauren Sara 98.7% 75.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4
Shauna McNiff 98.6% 132.3 0.0 0.0
Julia Zrinyi 98.6% 147.4
Kimberly Moran 98.6% 248.2
Emily Durgin 98.6% 250.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allison Lasnicki 5.8 1.7 7.5 9.5 11.3 11.6 10.3 10.1 8.5 7.9 5.8 4.4 3.6 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Lindsay Crevoiserat 6.4 0.8 5.8 7.4 9.8 11.5 11.0 9.7 8.9 8.3 6.3 5.5 3.8 2.8 2.3 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Lauren Sara 11.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.1 4.3 5.0 6.4 7.2 7.9 7.8 8.1 7.9 6.4 4.9 4.8 3.8 3.7 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.7
Shauna McNiff 24.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.7 2.9 3.5 3.9 3.2 4.0 4.2 4.1 3.6 3.9 3.8 3.4 2.9
Julia Zrinyi 29.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.4 2.4 3.1 2.7 3.3 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.8
Kimberly Moran 98.0
Emily Durgin 106.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 18.8% 100.0% 18.8 18.8 1
2 37.1% 100.0% 37.1 37.1 2
3 32.0% 99.9% 0.2 1.0 5.1 6.4 6.9 5.1 3.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 32.0 3
4 9.0% 98.2% 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.2 8.8 4
5 2.2% 73.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.6 5
6 0.6% 31.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 6
7 0.2% 33.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 98.6% 18.8 37.1 0.2 1.0 5.2 7.2 7.9 6.6 5.1 3.3 2.3 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.4 55.9 42.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Providence 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Villanova 78.2% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 53.9% 1.0 0.5
San Francisco 27.7% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 3.7% 2.0 0.1
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
James Madison 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.3
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 11.0