Cornell
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
39  Katie Kellner SR 19:39
50  Rachel Sorna JR 19:43
85  Emily Shearer JR 19:58
150  Devin McMahon JR 20:15
259  Caroline Kellner FR 20:30
285  Kate Rosettie SR 20:33
359  Genna Hartung SR 20:43
419  Dina Iacone FR 20:50
659  Marianne Collard SO 21:10
731  Claire DeVoe FR 21:16
742  Bori Tozser SO 21:17
766  Kelsey Karys SR 21:18
873  Elizabeth Simpson JR 21:24
908  Maggi Szpak FR 21:27
1,098  Cara Costich SR 21:41
1,302  Kristen Niedrach FR 21:54
1,335  Corey Dowe SO 21:56
1,360  Dale Kinney JR 21:57
1,685  Ann Herman FR 22:18
1,751  Sydney Williams SO 22:22
National Rank #11 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #3 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.4%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Nationals


National Champion 0.5%
Top 5 at Nationals 11.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 44.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 91.2%


Regional Champion 12.8%
Top 5 in Regional 98.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Kellner Rachel Sorna Emily Shearer Devin McMahon Caroline Kellner Kate Rosettie Genna Hartung Dina Iacone Marianne Collard Claire DeVoe Bori Tozser
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 328 19:37 19:42 19:51 20:01 20:15 20:14 20:41 20:56 21:08 21:18
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 400 19:37 19:40 19:55 20:17 20:44 20:31 20:24
Princeton Invitational (I) 10/13 1189 21:17 21:23
Ivy League Championships 10/27 429 19:52 19:55 19:54 20:14 20:21 20:30 20:59 20:46 21:13 21:12 21:10
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 491 19:48 19:52 19:55 20:27 20:36 20:47 20:52
NCAA Championship 11/17 468 19:33 19:32 20:22 20:15 20:34 20:42 20:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.4% 11.8 355 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.3 4.4 5.2 5.7 6.4 7.7 7.7 7.1 7.3 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.1 3.9 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.6 91 12.8 33.5 36.6 12.2 3.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Kellner 99.9% 41.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.6
Rachel Sorna 99.4% 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.3
Emily Shearer 98.4% 83.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
Devin McMahon 98.4% 129.7 0.0
Caroline Kellner 98.4% 171.0
Kate Rosettie 98.4% 177.9
Genna Hartung 98.4% 202.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Kellner 6.0 1.3 7.2 8.9 10.2 11.9 10.9 9.8 9.2 7.4 6.2 4.7 3.5 2.4 1.9 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Rachel Sorna 7.3 0.5 3.9 5.8 8.2 8.7 9.3 10.7 9.5 8.5 8.0 6.7 4.7 4.0 3.1 2.4 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Emily Shearer 13.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.5 4.4 6.4 7.0 7.7 7.6 6.8 6.9 6.1 5.2 4.7 4.2 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.6 1.6
Devin McMahon 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.4 3.3 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.2 3.7 4.1 3.6 3.6
Caroline Kellner 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.7
Kate Rosettie 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.5
Genna Hartung 53.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 12.8% 100.0% 12.8 12.8 1
2 33.5% 100.0% 33.5 33.5 2
3 36.6% 100.0% 11.2 3.2 19.9 2.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 36.6 3
4 12.2% 98.2% 0.9 0.2 2.3 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 12.0 4
5 3.6% 83.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 3.0 5
6 0.9% 38.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 6
7 0.2% 27.3% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 98.4% 12.8 33.5 11.2 4.0 20.1 4.7 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.6 46.3 52.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Duke 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Providence 99.9% 2.0 2.0
Georgetown 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Weber State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 98.0% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 98.0% 1.0 1.0
Connecticut 97.5% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 97.3% 1.0 1.0
William and Mary 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 87.8% 1.0 0.9
Villanova 78.2% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 71.9% 1.0 0.7
Boston College 68.1% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 53.9% 1.0 0.5
UCLA 39.1% 1.0 0.4
San Francisco 27.7% 1.0 0.3
Yale 24.0% 3.0 0.7
Princeton 14.9% 2.0 0.3
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 3.0 0.2
Syracuse 3.7% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 3.0 0.1
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 3.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 17.8
Minimum 13.0
Maximum 30.0