Dayton
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
296  Lizzie Gleason JR 20:34
517  Nicole Cargill JR 21:00
1,247  Mary List SO 21:50
1,304  Sarah Reynolds JR 21:54
1,325  Marisa Slomski SR 21:55
1,409  Nicole Armstrong SO 22:00
1,414  Olivia Albers FR 22:01
1,431  Arden Burch FR 22:02
1,550  Kerrill Mueller FR 22:10
1,603  Katie Ollier SO 22:13
1,756  Salena Clohisy SO 22:22
2,171  Megan Collins SO 22:50
National Rank #122 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #12 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.2%
Top 20 in Regional 99.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Lizzie Gleason Nicole Cargill Mary List Sarah Reynolds Marisa Slomski Nicole Armstrong Olivia Albers Arden Burch Kerrill Mueller Katie Ollier Salena Clohisy
All-Ohio Championships 09/29 1156 20:45 21:05 21:58 21:54 22:00 22:35 22:14
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1116 20:33 21:01 21:46 21:45 21:55 21:51 22:19 22:26 22:23
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/27 1111 20:32 21:01 21:56 21:40 21:35 22:16 21:45 21:56 22:06 22:01
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/09 1105 20:34 20:49 22:25 22:32 21:49 22:07 21:56





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.8 462 0.0 0.2 2.4 11.5 16.5 18.5 15.9 13.3 10.4 6.5 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lizzie Gleason 1.2% 161.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lizzie Gleason 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.3
Nicole Cargill 59.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Mary List 121.7
Sarah Reynolds 126.6
Marisa Slomski 128.7
Nicole Armstrong 135.0
Olivia Albers 135.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 2.4% 2.4 11
12 11.5% 11.5 12
13 16.5% 16.5 13
14 18.5% 18.5 14
15 15.9% 15.9 15
16 13.3% 13.3 16
17 10.4% 10.4 17
18 6.5% 6.5 18
19 3.2% 3.2 19
20 1.1% 1.1 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0