Indiana
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
160  Kelsey Duerksen SR 20:17
273  Arianne Raby SR 20:32
281  Caitlin Engel SR 20:33
474  Mollly Hirt SR 20:55
510  Erica Ridderman JR 20:58
537  Molly Winters SO 21:01
583  Molly Hirt SR 21:04
848  Lyndsey Wall JR 21:23
1,363  Ashley Seymour JR 21:58
1,502  Stephanie Frenchik SO 22:08
1,824  Samantha Gwin SO 22:27
2,204  Jordan Gray SR 22:52
2,395  Laicee Pierce FR 23:06
National Rank #57 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #9 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 5.1%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 18.2%
Top 10 in Regional 98.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kelsey Duerksen Arianne Raby Caitlin Engel Mollly Hirt Erica Ridderman Molly Winters Molly Hirt Lyndsey Wall Ashley Seymour Stephanie Frenchik Samantha Gwin
Rim Rock Farm Classic 09/29 849 20:28 20:28 20:24 20:54 20:57 21:07 21:52 22:19 22:07
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 876 20:14 20:32 20:43 20:54 21:06 21:22
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1295 21:28 21:44 22:27
Big Ten Championships 10/28 840 20:15 20:26 20:40 21:12 21:00 20:47 21:06 21:56
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/09 839 20:10 20:50 20:23 20:55 20:52 21:06 21:16
NCAA Championship 11/17 20:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 5.1% 27.6 623 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0
Region Championship 100% 7.1 199 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.5 10.8 16.3 21.2 21.9 14.8 6.2 1.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Duerksen 14.0% 117.0 0.0
Arianne Raby 5.8% 147.8
Caitlin Engel 5.6% 149.0
Mollly Hirt 5.1% 202.9
Erica Ridderman 5.1% 209.4
Molly Winters 5.1% 216.5
Molly Hirt 5.1% 219.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelsey Duerksen 21.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.2 3.8 3.4 3.6 4.3 4.2 4.2 3.7 4.3 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.9
Arianne Raby 33.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.7 2.1 2.9 2.5
Caitlin Engel 34.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.6 2.7
Mollly Hirt 54.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Erica Ridderman 58.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Molly Winters 61.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Molly Hirt 64.4 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 1.7% 78.8% 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 3
4 5.5% 47.7% 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.9 2.6 4
5 10.8% 7.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.0 0.8 5
6 16.3% 1.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.1 0.2 6
7 21.2% 21.2 7
8 21.9% 21.9 8
9 14.8% 14.8 9
10 6.2% 6.2 10
11 1.2% 1.2 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 5.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 94.9 0.1 5.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0