Northern Colorado
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
266  Rikki Gonzales FR 20:31
1,398  Megan Horsch SR 22:00
1,520  McKayla Grey FR 22:08
1,606  Ashley Atkin SO 22:13
1,890  Caroline Braun FR 22:30
2,082  Stephanie Clark SO 22:44
2,816  Bridget Tiernan SR 23:41
National Rank #137 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #16 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rikki Gonzales Megan Horsch McKayla Grey Ashley Atkin Caroline Braun Stephanie Clark Bridget Tiernan
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/29 1169 20:36 21:47 21:56 22:22 22:18 22:50
Big Sky Championships 10/27 1180 20:43 21:54 22:11 21:41 22:30 22:48
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 1127 20:15 22:22 22:19 22:29 22:45 22:34 23:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 17.1 462 0.0 0.3 1.6 6.2 18.4 23.8 48.3 1.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rikki Gonzales 0.5% 135.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rikki Gonzales 27.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.6 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.4
Megan Horsch 99.6
McKayla Grey 105.5
Ashley Atkin 108.8
Caroline Braun 119.3
Stephanie Clark 124.7
Bridget Tiernan 132.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 0.3% 0.3 13
14 1.6% 1.6 14
15 6.2% 6.2 15
16 18.4% 18.4 16
17 23.8% 23.8 17
18 48.3% 48.3 18
19 1.4% 1.4 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0