Ohio State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
123  Meredith Wagner JR 20:07
182  Michelle Thomas SO 20:20
415  Nicole Hilton SO 20:50
452  Tori Brink SR 20:53
538  Katie Borchers SO 21:01
609  Lexi Aughenbaugh FR 21:06
720  Helen Willman FR 21:15
1,354  Devin Flood SO 21:57
1,469  Minori Minagawa FR 22:05
National Rank #54 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #8 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 4.8%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 17.9%
Top 10 in Regional 98.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Meredith Wagner Michelle Thomas Nicole Hilton Tori Brink Katie Borchers Lexi Aughenbaugh Helen Willman Devin Flood Minori Minagawa
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 832 20:02 20:26 20:51 21:37 20:59 20:51 21:10 21:42
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 857 20:08 20:24 20:55 21:04 21:31 20:51 21:11
Big Ten Championships 10/28 765 20:03 20:17 20:44 20:39 20:55 21:28 21:22 22:13 22:06
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/09 779 20:20 20:13 20:49 20:27 20:54 21:21 21:18





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 4.8% 26.4 602 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6
Region Championship 100% 7.3 203 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.5 10.8 14.6 19.9 21.3 16.7 7.9 1.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meredith Wagner 31.2% 97.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Michelle Thomas 9.5% 119.6
Nicole Hilton 4.8% 186.2
Tori Brink 4.8% 194.0
Katie Borchers 4.8% 210.9
Lexi Aughenbaugh 4.8% 216.9
Helen Willman 4.8% 231.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Meredith Wagner 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.7 2.8 3.8 4.5 4.7 5.2 5.6 5.8 5.2 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.9 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.2
Michelle Thomas 24.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.1 3.3 4.0 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.9 3.7
Nicole Hilton 48.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4
Tori Brink 52.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Katie Borchers 61.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Lexi Aughenbaugh 67.1 0.0 0.0
Helen Willman 77.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 1.2% 82.3% 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 3
4 5.5% 45.5% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.0 2.5 4
5 10.8% 8.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.0 0.9 5
6 14.6% 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5 0.1 6
7 19.9% 19.9 7
8 21.3% 21.3 8
9 16.7% 16.7 9
10 7.9% 7.9 10
11 1.7% 1.7 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 4.8% 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 95.2 0.3 4.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0