SMU
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
135  Mary Alenbratt SR 20:10
207  Ashlee Powers FR 20:23
326  Karoline Skatteboe FR 20:39
366  Shanoah Souza FR 20:44
477  Caitlin Keen JR 20:56
3,219  Claire Trotter FR 24:31
3,239  Stephanie Wright JR 24:34
National Rank #51 of 339
South Central Region Rank #3 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 24.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.4%


Regional Champion 3.1%
Top 5 in Regional 99.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mary Alenbratt Ashlee Powers Karoline Skatteboe Shanoah Souza Caitlin Keen Claire Trotter Stephanie Wright
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 791 20:19 19:54 20:36 20:54 21:14
Chile Pepper Festival 10/13 936 20:06 21:03 20:46 21:20 20:54 24:38 24:04
Conference USA Championships 10/29 759 20:03 20:16 20:36 20:43 20:57 24:12 25:12
South Central Region Championships 11/09 885 20:13 20:33 20:19 20:39 24:45
NCAA Championship 11/17 20:12





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 24.0% 27.6 632 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.9 5.6
Region Championship 100% 2.9 100 3.1 20.1 63.7 10.2 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Alenbratt 69.8% 110.8 0.0 0.1 0.0
Ashlee Powers 38.4% 135.3 0.0
Karoline Skatteboe 24.9% 175.2
Shanoah Souza 24.2% 185.5
Caitlin Keen 24.0% 211.6
Claire Trotter 24.1% 251.9
Stephanie Wright 24.1% 252.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mary Alenbratt 7.5 0.9 1.9 6.7 7.6 8.8 9.8 9.8 9.1 8.8 7.7 6.5 5.5 4.4 2.9 2.7 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
Ashlee Powers 12.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 2.1 3.1 4.9 6.0 6.3 7.1 7.3 8.0 7.4 6.9 7.1 5.6 5.0 4.1 3.6 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.0
Karoline Skatteboe 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.7 4.9 5.9 5.4 6.2 5.7 5.7 5.3 4.7 4.8 4.2
Shanoah Souza 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.8 2.6 3.3 3.8 5.1 4.6 5.4 6.0 5.5 5.5 5.0 5.1
Caitlin Keen 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.2 2.9 3.6 4.1
Claire Trotter 178.5
Stephanie Wright 179.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.1% 100.0% 3.1 3.1 1
2 20.1% 100.0% 20.1 20.1 2
3 63.7% 1.3% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 62.9 0.8 3
4 10.2% 10.2 4
5 2.4% 2.4 5
6 0.4% 0.4 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 24.0% 3.1 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 76.0 23.2 0.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Tulsa 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
LSU 0.3% 1.0 0.0
James Madison 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0