San Francisco
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
92  Elena Burkard FR 20:00
93  Eva Krchova JR 20:01
137  Laura Suur SR 20:11
236  Alice Baker SR 20:27
261  Chloe Treleven SR 20:31
268  Maor Tiyouri JR 20:31
782  Kate Jamboretz SO 21:19
1,122  Sarah Pearson JR 21:42
1,410  Mary Sandri JR 22:00
1,776  Kailey Ulland SO 22:24
1,811  HIllary Kigar SR 22:26
2,135  Madeline Haupert FR 22:48
2,716  Elizabeth Schultz FR 23:32
National Rank #18 of 339
West Region Rank #5 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 59.7%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 8.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 38.7%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 72.3%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elena Burkard Eva Krchova Laura Suur Alice Baker Chloe Treleven Maor Tiyouri Kate Jamboretz Sarah Pearson Mary Sandri Kailey Ulland HIllary Kigar
Stanford Invitational 09/29 1158 20:52 20:58 21:40 21:50 22:23 22:54
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 665 20:02 20:16 20:31 20:27 20:37 21:27 22:09
WCC Championships 10/27 496 20:04 20:02 20:13 20:06 20:23 20:26 21:07 21:44 22:00
West Region Championships 11/09 513 19:52 19:52 20:10 20:24 20:49 20:31 21:46





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 59.7% 17.6 450 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.5 2.4 2.7 2.6 3.3 2.9 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.6 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.5
Region Championship 100% 5.2 163 0.1 1.0 3.6 11.8 55.9 16.7 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elena Burkard 63.4% 82.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Eva Krchova 63.2% 83.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Laura Suur 60.2% 111.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alice Baker 59.7% 157.5
Chloe Treleven 59.7% 168.1
Maor Tiyouri 59.7% 169.0
Kate Jamboretz 59.7% 244.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elena Burkard 21.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.4 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.4 4.6 4.4 4.7 5.2 5.2 5.5 4.5 5.0
Eva Krchova 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 2.3 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.3 4.0 4.6 4.3 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.8 4.1
Laura Suur 29.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.4 4.3
Alice Baker 42.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0
Chloe Treleven 46.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6
Maor Tiyouri 47.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4
Kate Jamboretz 113.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 1.0% 100.0% 1.0 1.0 2
3 3.6% 97.8% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 3.5 3
4 11.8% 95.6% 4.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.5 11.3 4
5 55.9% 67.8% 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.6 4.1 5.0 5.9 7.2 6.6 18.0 37.9 5
6 16.7% 31.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.2 11.5 5.2 6
7 6.9% 12.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 6.1 0.8 7
8 2.8% 2.8 8
9 0.9% 0.9 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 59.7% 0.1 1.0 1.3 4.9 1.0 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.0 4.5 5.3 6.7 8.6 10.6 9.7 40.3 1.0 58.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 53.9% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 3.7% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 2.0 0.1
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0