Syracuse
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
57  Sarah Pagano SR 19:47
276  Katie Fleischer FR 20:32
277  Alexandra Clinton JR 20:32
286  Jessie Petersen SO 20:33
292  Meredith Speakman FR 20:34
329  Brianna Nerud FR 20:39
364  Erin Cawley JR 20:44
365  Angelica Peck FR 20:44
572  Brenna Symoniak JR 21:03
577  Kimberly Spano JR 21:04
1,096  Katie Kinkead FR 21:41
1,207  Beth Wright FR 21:48
1,382  Margo Malone FR 21:59
National Rank #35 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #6 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 28.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 10.7%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 51.1%
Top 10 in Regional 99.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Pagano Katie Fleischer Alexandra Clinton Jessie Petersen Meredith Speakman Brianna Nerud Erin Cawley Angelica Peck Brenna Symoniak Kimberly Spano Katie Kinkead
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 696 19:41 20:29 20:32 20:41 20:38 20:46 20:59
Princeton Invitational (I) 10/13 21:03 21:41
Big East Championships 10/26 701 19:49 20:41 20:33 20:37 20:40 20:26 20:38 20:42 21:09
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 667 19:54 20:23 20:38 20:30 20:27 20:52 21:03
NCAA Championship 11/17 19:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 28.0% 22.0 519 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.1
Region Championship 100% 5.7 171 0.2 1.3 5.8 19.0 24.8 19.1 12.8 7.7 5.5 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Pagano 93.7% 58.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.6
Katie Fleischer 28.1% 161.6
Alexandra Clinton 28.1% 159.3
Jessie Petersen 28.1% 160.6
Meredith Speakman 28.1% 165.1
Brianna Nerud 28.0% 179.5
Erin Cawley 28.0% 188.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Pagano 8.7 0.2 2.8 3.9 5.6 6.6 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.2 8.3 7.6 5.7 5.0 4.1 3.4 3.1 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.2
Katie Fleischer 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.7
Alexandra Clinton 41.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.5
Jessie Petersen 42.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7
Meredith Speakman 43.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2
Brianna Nerud 48.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.6
Erin Cawley 54.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 1.3% 100.0% 1.3 1.3 2
3 5.8% 92.0% 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 5.3 3
4 19.0% 65.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.0 0.7 6.5 12.4 4
5 24.8% 27.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.9 18.1 6.7 5
6 19.1% 8.5% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 17.5 1.6 6
7 12.8% 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5 0.3 7
8 7.7% 0.5% 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.0 8
9 5.5% 5.5 9
10 2.9% 2.9 10
11 0.7% 0.7 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 28.0% 0.2 1.3 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.2 2.1 2.9 2.4 3.0 4.4 4.4 2.5 72.0 1.5 26.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0