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Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
827  Jenna Dubrow SO 21:22
1,127  Anna Pavone SO 21:42
2,163  Christin Bettis FR 22:50
2,196  Chelsea Carelton SO 22:52
2,555  Tonney Smith SR 23:19
2,658  Dierdre MacFarlane SR 23:26
2,968  Lauren Holguin JR 23:57
3,075  Stephanie Dorantes SO 24:10
3,092  Kelly Broadbent SO 24:13
3,118  Rayna Kratchman SR 24:17
3,273  Samantha Shepard SO 24:42
3,474  Andrea Mathis SO 25:22
3,530  Shanel Golding SO 25:43
National Rank #240 of 339
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #22 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 25.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jenna Dubrow Anna Pavone Christin Bettis Chelsea Carelton Tonney Smith Dierdre MacFarlane Lauren Holguin Stephanie Dorantes Kelly Broadbent Rayna Kratchman Samantha Shepard
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Brown) 09/28 1316 21:14 22:45 23:01 23:14 24:04 23:29 24:21 25:15
Leopard Invitational 10/13 1300 21:26 22:15 22:50 23:11 23:13 23:22 23:40 24:10 25:14 23:47 24:16
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/27 1332 21:17 21:37 22:46 24:04 24:00 23:58 25:24 24:12 24:42
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/09 1349 21:33 21:30 23:23 24:06 23:43 25:20 24:45





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 21.4 642 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 3.4 7.3 12.9 23.5 27.1 14.7 6.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jenna Dubrow 59.3 0.0
Anna Pavone 79.7
Christin Bettis 158.7
Chelsea Carelton 161.3
Tonney Smith 183.2
Dierdre MacFarlane 187.7
Lauren Holguin 204.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.4% 0.4 16
17 0.9% 0.9 17
18 3.4% 3.4 18
19 7.3% 7.3 19
20 12.9% 12.9 20
21 23.5% 23.5 21
22 27.1% 27.1 22
23 14.7% 14.7 23
24 6.2% 6.2 24
25 2.2% 2.2 25
26 0.8% 0.8 26
27 0.2% 0.2 27
28 0.0% 0.0 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0