UCLA
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
133  Katja Goldring SR 20:10
168  Bronte Golick SO 20:18
169  Kelsey Smith SO 20:18
258  Annie Mooney SO 20:30
417  Hannah Valenzuela SO 20:50
759  Sarah Toberty SR 21:17
877  Sierra Vega SO 21:25
945  Hannah Valnezuela SO 21:30
1,024  Sadee Martinez SR 21:36
1,177  Lyndsey Mull FR 21:46
1,213  Caitlin Schmitt JR 21:49
1,481  Danielle Low SR 22:06
1,551  Jen Owen FR 22:10
1,869  Kristina Rivera JR 22:29
1,904  Allison Lopez SR 22:31
1,946  Merissa Kado SO 22:34
2,220  Ava Kent FR 22:53
2,245  Lyndsy Mull 22:55
2,366  Amber Murakami JR 23:03
2,741  Elle Sanders JR 23:34
National Rank #34 of 339
West Region Rank #7 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 45.7%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 11.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 12.9%
Top 10 in Regional 96.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katja Goldring Bronte Golick Kelsey Smith Annie Mooney Hannah Valenzuela Sarah Toberty Sierra Vega Hannah Valnezuela Sadee Martinez Lyndsey Mull Caitlin Schmitt
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 612 20:07 20:18 19:59 20:35 20:33 21:30 21:49
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/13 1234 21:35 21:44
Titan Invitational 10/19 1267 21:45
Pac-12 Championships 10/27 731 20:29 20:14 20:23 20:23 20:51 21:37 21:28 21:51 21:49
West Region Championships 11/09 732 20:02 20:24 20:32 20:32 20:50 21:30 21:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 45.7% 24.1 555 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.6 4.1 3.8
Region Championship 100% 7.0 221 0.0 0.3 1.1 11.5 31.1 24.1 15.9 7.6 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katja Goldring 46.5% 103.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bronte Golick 45.8% 124.2
Kelsey Smith 45.8% 124.3
Annie Mooney 45.7% 157.6
Hannah Valenzuela 45.7% 204.4
Sarah Toberty 45.7% 241.4
Sierra Vega 45.7% 245.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katja Goldring 28.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.0 3.4 3.9
Bronte Golick 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.0 2.5
Kelsey Smith 35.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.3
Annie Mooney 45.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5
Hannah Valenzuela 68.4 0.0
Sarah Toberty 111.4
Sierra Vega 121.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.3% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 3
4 1.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 4
5 11.5% 99.1% 0.2 0.6 1.8 1.8 2.3 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 11.4 5
6 31.1% 91.2% 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 3.7 4.7 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.9 2.7 28.4 6
7 24.1% 18.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 2.2 19.7 4.4 7
8 15.9% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.9 0.1 8
9 7.6% 7.6 9
10 4.5% 4.5 10
11 2.3% 2.3 11
12 0.9% 0.9 12
13 0.4% 0.4 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 45.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 4.5 6.3 6.7 6.1 5.7 5.3 6.5 54.3 0.0 45.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 98.0% 1.0 1.0
Connecticut 97.5% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 87.8% 1.0 0.9
Boston College 68.1% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 53.9% 1.0 0.5
San Francisco 27.7% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 3.7% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.0
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 10.0