Weber State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
15  Amber Henry JR 19:26
52  Sarah Callister SR 19:44
125  Taylor Thornley SR 20:08
218  Laken Hintze SR 20:25
300  Kayla Blackford JR 20:35
302  Jamie Stokes FR 20:36
491  Suzanna Cressall JR 20:57
784  Jenna Deelstra SR 21:19
National Rank #13 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #1 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.7%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 4.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 27.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 84.6%


Regional Champion 60.2%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Amber Henry Sarah Callister Taylor Thornley Laken Hintze Kayla Blackford Jamie Stokes Suzanna Cressall Jenna Deelstra
Roy Griak Invitational 09/29 398 19:25 19:36 19:58 20:20 20:28 21:21 20:40 21:29
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 536 19:17 19:39 20:57 20:29 20:33 20:40 21:04
Big Sky Championships 10/27 487 19:43 19:45 19:51 20:28 20:47 21:23 21:03 21:05
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 375 19:24 19:49 20:04 20:15 20:34 20:11 20:53
NCAA Championship 11/17 528 19:32 19:58 20:10 20:32 20:39 20:44 21:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.7% 14.2 395 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.9 5.4 6.5 7.2 6.8 6.9 7.2 5.4 6.2 4.9 4.5 3.7 4.0 3.0 2.4 2.5 1.9 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2
Region Championship 100% 1.6 76 60.2 26.1 11.1 2.3 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amber Henry 100% 19.9 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.2 2.9 3.5 2.4 3.0 3.6 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.4 1.9
Sarah Callister 99.9% 50.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 1.2 1.0
Taylor Thornley 99.7% 110.2 0.0 0.0
Laken Hintze 99.7% 157.7
Kayla Blackford 99.7% 184.4
Jamie Stokes 99.7% 184.9
Suzanna Cressall 99.7% 225.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amber Henry 2.2 18.9 26.9 20.0 14.8 8.2 5.1 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Sarah Callister 5.7 0.8 3.3 8.1 12.7 14.9 15.6 12.0 9.3 7.8 4.9 3.8 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Taylor Thornley 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.2 3.5 4.8 6.1 7.4 8.7 8.5 8.7 7.4 7.1 6.0 4.4 4.1 3.6 2.9 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.2
Laken Hintze 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.7 4.3 4.5 4.4 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.6 4.2 4.4 4.2 4.3
Kayla Blackford 31.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.8 2.6 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.2 3.1
Jamie Stokes 31.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.9
Suzanna Cressall 51.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 60.2% 100.0% 60.2 60.2 1
2 26.1% 100.0% 26.1 26.1 2
3 11.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 3.0 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.1 3
4 2.3% 99.1% 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 4
5 0.3% 7.7% 0.0 0.2 0.0 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 99.7% 60.2 26.1 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 86.3 13.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 98.0% 2.0 2.0
New Mexico 98.0% 1.0 1.0
Connecticut 97.5% 2.0 2.0
Notre Dame 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 87.8% 1.0 0.9
Toledo 71.9% 1.0 0.7
Boston College 68.1% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 53.9% 1.0 0.5
UCLA 39.1% 1.0 0.4
San Francisco 27.7% 1.0 0.3
Yale 24.0% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 3.7% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Southern Utah 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
James Madison 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 10.3
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 16.0