Western Illinois
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
912  Alycia Thurston JR 21:27
1,525  Lydia Smith SO 22:09
2,177  Chelsea Lynes JR 22:51
2,611  Mackenzie Gray JR 23:23
3,170  Alyssa Johnson FR 24:25
3,442  Capovilla Kelsey FR 25:15
3,582  Angela Brown FR 25:59
3,700  Larissa Mooberry JR 26:51
National Rank #263 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #32 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alycia Thurston Lydia Smith Chelsea Lynes Mackenzie Gray Alyssa Johnson Capovilla Kelsey Angela Brown Larissa Mooberry
Notre Dame Invitational 09/28 1358 21:38 22:16 23:26 23:14 24:21 25:15
Bradley Classic 10/12 1327 21:26 21:58 22:25 23:14 24:29 25:58 26:51
The Summit League Championships 10/27 1348 21:16 22:03 22:50 23:54 24:24
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 21:35 22:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 30.3 876 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.8 11.6 36.6 37.7



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alycia Thurston 97.2
Lydia Smith 148.2
Chelsea Lynes 190.7
Mackenzie Gray 212.0
Alyssa Johnson 228.1
Capovilla Kelsey 234.3
Angela Brown 236.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 0.0% 0.0 25
26 0.3% 0.3 26
27 1.0% 1.0 27
28 3.8% 3.8 28
29 11.6% 11.6 29
30 36.6% 36.6 30
31 37.7% 37.7 31
32 7.5% 7.5 32
33 1.3% 1.3 33
34 0.1% 0.1 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0