William and Mary
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
19  Elaina Balouris JR 19:30
40  Emily Stites FR 19:39
305  Meghan McGovern FR 20:36
306  Clarissa Schick JR 20:36
345  Jess Cygan SO 20:42
408  Michelle Britto SR 20:48
443  Dylan Hassett SO 20:52
469  Katie Buenaga SR 20:55
472  Lanie Smith JR 20:55
927  Leanna Eisenman FR 21:29
1,017  Carolyn Hennessey FR 21:35
1,206  Erica Amatori FR 21:48
1,402  Christina Lee JR 22:00
1,722  Heather Clagett FR 22:20
1,783  Melissa DiVecchia SR 22:24
1,887  Allison Bartels JR 22:30
2,069  Rebecca Eudailey FR 22:43
2,193  Avery Mattingly SR 22:52
2,304  Casey Lardner FR 23:00
National Rank #22 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #2 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.8%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 3.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 45.9%


Regional Champion 8.1%
Top 5 in Regional 99.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Elaina Balouris Emily Stites Meghan McGovern Clarissa Schick Jess Cygan Michelle Britto Dylan Hassett Katie Buenaga Lanie Smith Leanna Eisenman Carolyn Hennessey
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 465 19:44 19:44 20:10 20:26 20:21 20:50 20:52 21:04 21:25
Tribe Open 10/13 1170 20:56 21:09 21:23 22:17
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 573 19:42 19:41 20:30 20:35 21:02 20:40 20:41
Colonial Athletic Association Championships 10/27 706 19:56 20:13 20:50 20:29 20:52 20:56 21:20 20:43 21:35 21:24
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 656 19:48 19:57 20:43 20:40 20:55 20:42 20:51
NCAA Championship 11/17 582 19:17 19:26 21:04 20:34 20:46 21:07 20:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.8% 20.6 496 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.8 2.9 3.9 4.5 4.1 5.1 5.7 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.4 6.3 5.5 5.9 5.1 4.4 4.5 3.4 2.1 1.4
Region Championship 100% 2.5 111 8.1 47.4 33.9 8.3 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elaina Balouris 100% 25.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.9 2.5 2.2 2.0
Emily Stites 99.1% 41.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.6
Meghan McGovern 96.8% 185.9
Clarissa Schick 96.8% 186.2
Jess Cygan 96.8% 198.2
Michelle Britto 96.8% 211.6
Dylan Hassett 96.8% 217.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elaina Balouris 3.3 12.7 18.4 15.1 14.3 12.2 9.4 6.9 4.3 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emily Stites 5.7 2.3 6.1 10.1 11.0 12.8 11.7 11.3 10.8 7.9 6.1 3.4 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Meghan McGovern 32.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.9
Clarissa Schick 32.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.0 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.0
Jess Cygan 37.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.3
Michelle Britto 43.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9
Dylan Hassett 46.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 8.1% 100.0% 8.1 8.1 1
2 47.4% 100.0% 47.4 47.4 2
3 33.9% 98.3% 0.0 0.2 3.0 4.8 5.4 5.0 4.1 3.2 2.4 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 33.3 3
4 8.3% 93.7% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.5 7.8 4
5 2.1% 11.7% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 0.2 5
6 0.2% 0.2 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 96.8% 8.1 47.4 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.3 6.6 6.2 5.2 4.1 3.0 2.8 2.2 1.2 1.4 3.2 55.4 41.3




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Providence 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Georgetown 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Florida 82.7% 1.0 0.8
Villanova 78.2% 2.0 1.6
Colorado 62.3% 1.0 0.6
Yale 24.0% 1.0 0.2
Kentucky 11.2% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Butler 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Southern Utah 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.5% 1.0 0.0
James Madison 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.5
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 10.0