Wisconsin
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
71  Ashely Beutler SR 19:54
72  Gabi Anzalone SO 19:54
254  Hanna Knurr SR 20:29
476  Lavinia Jurkiewicz SO 20:55
599  Emma-Lisa Murphy FR 21:05
716  Kiah Ehrke JR 21:14
721  Theresa Selestow SO 21:15
887  McNulty Colleen SO 21:25
897  Steffen Dana SO 21:26
942  Jenna McMiller SO 21:30
1,058  Caroline Bauer SO 21:38
1,062  Kristen Yarrows JR 21:38
1,099  Victoria Paulson SO 21:41
1,179  Jessica Sykes SO 21:46
1,205  Gregory Anne FR 21:48
1,497  Rebecca Stoebe JR 22:08
1,538  Erica Spiegelberg JR 22:09
1,731  Sarah Miller SO 22:21
1,812  Clare McDonald FR 22:26
2,034  Elizabeth Wendt JR 22:41
2,208  Gabby Effrien FR 22:53
2,420  Megan Stenz SO 23:08
2,641  Erin Rosewicz SO 23:25
National Rank #37 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #6 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 24.2%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 4.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 42.4%
Top 10 in Regional 99.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ashely Beutler Gabi Anzalone Hanna Knurr Lavinia Jurkiewicz Emma-Lisa Murphy Kiah Ehrke Theresa Selestow McNulty Colleen Steffen Dana Jenna McMiller Caroline Bauer
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/29 685 20:03 20:09 20:25 20:52 20:36 20:53 21:14 21:22 21:30 21:23
Sean Earl Loyola Lakefront Invitational 09/29 1215 21:27
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 765 20:06 19:44 20:41 21:06 21:29 21:15 23:10
Big Ten Championships 10/28 662 19:51 19:53 20:13 20:59 21:04 21:16 21:04 21:30
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/09 718 19:42 19:48 20:43 20:57 21:44 21:37 21:19
NCAA Championship 11/17 19:50 20:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 24.2% 24.8 564 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2 1.4
Region Championship 100% 5.9 170 0.9 5.0 14.2 22.4 22.8 17.3 10.8 4.9 1.7 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashely Beutler 63.9% 71.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5
Gabi Anzalone 62.8% 69.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3
Hanna Knurr 24.3% 153.1
Lavinia Jurkiewicz 24.2% 213.2
Emma-Lisa Murphy 24.2% 226.2
Kiah Ehrke 24.3% 237.4
Theresa Selestow 24.2% 238.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashely Beutler 8.4 0.9 2.4 3.8 5.7 7.9 8.7 8.3 9.3 7.8 6.8 6.3 5.6 4.9 3.6 3.3 2.3 2.8 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4
Gabi Anzalone 8.4 0.9 2.6 3.8 5.5 7.3 9.1 9.3 8.4 7.8 6.7 6.2 5.3 4.7 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5
Hanna Knurr 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.9 3.2
Lavinia Jurkiewicz 54.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Emma-Lisa Murphy 65.9 0.0 0.0
Kiah Ehrke 77.0
Theresa Selestow 76.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.9% 100.0% 0.9 0.9 2
3 5.0% 88.7% 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.4 3
4 14.2% 61.1% 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.2 0.7 5.5 8.7 4
5 22.4% 29.1% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.4 2.0 15.9 6.5 5
6 22.8% 15.5% 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 19.2 3.5 6
7 17.3% 1.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17.0 0.3 7
8 10.8% 10.8 8
9 4.9% 4.9 9
10 1.7% 1.7 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 24.2% 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.2 1.9 2.9 2.9 3.9 4.2 75.8 0.9 23.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Duke 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Kentucky 11.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Mississippi 5.0% 1.0 0.1
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 2.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0