American
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
773  Julia Sullivan SR 21:18
998  Corina Velazco FR 21:34
1,274  Reagan Kolakowski FR 21:50
1,337  Krystal Foster SR 21:55
1,586  Julienne DeVita FR 22:10
1,953  Kelseagh Budris SO 22:32
2,407  Cassidy Hart FR 23:03
2,667  Tristynn Mercedes FR 23:19
3,024  Alexandra Tyburski SR 23:54
National Rank #188 of 340
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #19 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 1.3%
Top 20 in Regional 92.9%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Julia Sullivan Corina Velazco Reagan Kolakowski Krystal Foster Julienne DeVita Kelseagh Budris Cassidy Hart Tristynn Mercedes Alexandra Tyburski
Mason Invitational 10/05 22:00 22:53 23:27
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 1235 21:53 21:34 21:39 22:03 22:06 23:55
Leopard Invitational 10/19 1217 21:18 21:40 21:50 21:46 21:41 22:32 23:10 23:19
Patriot League Championships 11/02 1226 21:09 21:22 22:03 22:06 22:59 22:51 22:59
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 21:04 21:38 21:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.6 531 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 4.3 5.6 8.0 12.1 14.2 15.8 13.8 9.9 5.4 3.0 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Sullivan 67.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
Corina Velazco 90.3
Reagan Kolakowski 112.9
Krystal Foster 119.3
Julienne DeVita 139.5
Kelseagh Budris 164.5
Cassidy Hart 191.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 1.1% 1.1 10
11 2.4% 2.4 11
12 4.3% 4.3 12
13 5.6% 5.6 13
14 8.0% 8.0 14
15 12.1% 12.1 15
16 14.2% 14.2 16
17 15.8% 15.8 17
18 13.8% 13.8 18
19 9.9% 9.9 19
20 5.4% 5.4 20
21 3.0% 3.0 21
22 1.6% 1.6 22
23 1.2% 1.2 23
24 0.6% 0.6 24
25 0.4% 0.4 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 0.0% 0.0 27
28 0.1% 0.1 28
29 29
30 30
31 0.0% 0.0 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0