Central Michigan
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
298  Krista Parks SR 20:37
415  Kelly Schubert SO 20:49
437  Breanne Lesnar SO 20:51
534  Alyssa Dyer SO 21:01
666  Abbey Kelto JR 21:11
1,605  Esther Bell FR 22:10
1,679  Katie Weiler FR 22:15
1,758  Shelby Thren SR 22:19
2,315  Brooke Morgan SO 22:56
2,571  Michaela Bundy FR 23:11
2,590  Jacquee Overbeek SO 23:13
3,414  Katelyn Maylee SO 24:58
National Rank #90 of 340
Great Lakes Region Rank #13 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.5%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.7%
Top 10 in Regional 61.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Krista Parks Kelly Schubert Breanne Lesnar Alyssa Dyer Abbey Kelto Esther Bell Katie Weiler Shelby Thren Brooke Morgan Michaela Bundy Jacquee Overbeek
Roy Griak Invitational 09/28 1079 20:36 20:53 21:10 21:26 21:53 21:34 22:58 22:42
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/04 1028 20:25 20:47 21:30 21:08 21:18 21:59 22:39 23:12 23:45
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 1042 20:47 20:53 20:54 20:58 21:18 22:22 22:06
Mid-American Championships 11/02 914 20:32 20:45 20:33 20:52 20:56 22:16 22:35 22:27 22:54
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 985 20:47 20:48 20:43 20:57 20:57 22:25 22:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.5% 28.9 731 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
Region Championship 100% 10.1 299 0.1 0.6 1.4 6.1 13.5 18.8 20.5 16.3 11.0 6.6 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Krista Parks 1.7% 138.3
Kelly Schubert 0.6% 177.0
Breanne Lesnar 0.6% 172.0
Alyssa Dyer 0.5% 196.8
Abbey Kelto 0.5% 218.5
Esther Bell 0.5% 250.6
Katie Weiler 0.5% 251.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Krista Parks 40.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.3
Kelly Schubert 52.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
Breanne Lesnar 54.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
Alyssa Dyer 66.5 0.0 0.0
Abbey Kelto 78.6
Esther Bell 140.9
Katie Weiler 145.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4
5 0.6% 40.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 5
6 1.4% 11.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.2 6
7 6.1% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.1 7
8 13.5% 13.5 8
9 18.8% 18.8 9
10 20.5% 20.5 10
11 16.3% 16.3 11
12 11.0% 11.0 12
13 6.6% 6.6 13
14 3.6% 3.6 14
15 1.1% 1.1 15
16 0.3% 0.3 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.5 0.0 0.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0