Cornell
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
27  Rachel Sorna SR 19:32
75  Emily Shearer SR 19:54
259  Elizabeth Simpson SR 20:31
327  Taylor Spillane FR 20:41
364  Devin McMahon SR 20:44
441  Caroline Kellner SO 20:51
443  Marianne Collard JR 20:52
450  Claire DeVoe SO 20:52
613  Kristen Niedrach SO 21:07
674  Corey Dowe JR 21:12
678  Bori Tozser JR 21:12
794  Sarah Holl SO 21:19
864  Dina Iacone SO 21:24
1,018  Delphi Cleaveland FR 21:35
1,183  Dale Kinney SR 21:44
1,198  Christine Driscoll JR 21:45
1,256  Cara Janeczko SR 21:49
1,405  Maggi Szpak SO 21:59
1,657  Sydney Williams JR 22:14
National Rank #21 of 340
Northeast Region Rank #3 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 86.7%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 35.4%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 85.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rachel Sorna Emily Shearer Elizabeth Simpson Taylor Spillane Devin McMahon Caroline Kellner Marianne Collard Claire DeVoe Kristen Niedrach Corey Dowe Bori Tozser
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/27 692 19:53 20:16 20:40 20:39 20:55 20:35 20:54 21:14 21:06 20:59
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 595 19:39 20:03 20:16 20:44 21:31 20:50 20:56 20:51 21:17 20:40
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 647 19:45 19:52 20:59 20:38 21:16 20:43 20:45 21:45
Princeton Invitational 10/19 1207 21:20
Ivy League Championships 11/02 567 19:35 19:44 20:24 20:39 20:55 20:44 21:20 21:11 21:27
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 607 19:39 19:41 20:39 20:36 20:45 21:18 21:22
NCAA Championship 11/23 704 19:19 20:19 20:34 20:55 20:50 21:10 21:07





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 86.7% 21.2 511 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 2.3 2.3 2.9 4.3 5.4 6.4 7.1 8.0 7.9 8.0 7.2 5.8 4.8 4.2 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.5
Region Championship 100% 4.0 155 0.1 6.9 35.6 28.2 15.0 7.5 4.1 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Sorna 99.7% 28.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.0 2.2
Emily Shearer 87.8% 68.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4
Elizabeth Simpson 86.7% 169.0
Taylor Spillane 86.7% 192.9
Devin McMahon 86.7% 200.1
Caroline Kellner 86.7% 214.7
Marianne Collard 86.7% 215.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Sorna 6.0 0.4 3.7 7.6 10.8 12.4 14.5 13.5 11.3 8.7 5.8 3.7 2.6 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Emily Shearer 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.3 3.1 5.9 6.8 7.8 8.5 8.7 8.3 6.9 6.3 5.2 5.0 4.1 3.8 2.7 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.3
Elizabeth Simpson 37.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.6 2.1
Taylor Spillane 47.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5
Devin McMahon 51.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5
Caroline Kellner 59.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Marianne Collard 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 6.9% 100.0% 6.9 6.9 2
3 35.6% 99.0% 0.3 2.5 3.0 2.9 4.3 4.2 4.5 3.4 2.9 3.2 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.3 35.2 3
4 28.2% 96.7% 0.2 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.4 0.9 27.2 4
5 15.0% 83.0% 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.4 2.5 12.4 5
6 7.5% 50.7% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 3.7 3.8 6
7 4.1% 22.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 3.2 0.9 7
8 1.5% 2.7% 0.0 1.4 0.0 8
9 1.0% 1.0 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 86.7% 0.1 6.9 0.3 2.7 4.3 5.0 7.4 8.2 9.0 8.9 7.9 7.5 6.8 6.2 5.4 13.3 7.0 79.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 47.8% 1.0 0.5
Harvard 37.3% 3.0 1.1
Wisconsin 35.7% 2.0 0.7
Boston College 31.0% 2.0 0.6
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
West Virginia 10.9% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 9.4% 1.0 0.1
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 3.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 6.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 15.0