Montana State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
90  Heather Demorest SR 20:01
564  Rachel Atwood SO 21:03
662  Jenette Northey FR 21:11
797  Christie Schiel FR 21:19
1,017  Rachel Sullivan SO 21:35
1,713  Michelle Cline SO 22:17
1,814  Kaylee Schmitz SO 22:23
2,085  Mackenzie O'Dore SO 22:41
National Rank #87 of 340
Mountain Region Rank #7 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 7.8%
Top 10 in Regional 82.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Heather Demorest Rachel Atwood Jenette Northey Christie Schiel Rachel Sullivan Michelle Cline Kaylee Schmitz Mackenzie O'Dore
Montana Open 10/04 1023 20:12 20:54 21:14 21:22 21:38 22:19 23:04
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 1039 20:18 21:01 21:00 21:33 21:45 22:43 22:24
Big Sky Championships 11/01 1070 20:25 21:01 21:29 21:17 21:38 22:28 22:32 22:46
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 1000 20:09 21:16 21:05 21:06 21:11 21:50 22:16
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0% 28.0 712 0.0
Region Championship 100% 8.4 246 0.3 1.8 5.7 12.6 14.9 17.3 16.6 13.0 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heather Demorest 87.0% 83.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
Rachel Atwood 0.1% 202.0
Jenette Northey 0.0% 196.5
Christie Schiel 0.0% 220.5
Rachel Sullivan 0.0% 245.5
Michelle Cline 0.0% 249.5
Kaylee Schmitz 0.0% 251.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Heather Demorest 7.3 0.8 2.6 5.1 10.0 10.5 9.3 9.1 9.4 8.9 8.0 6.4 5.6 4.0 2.8 1.9 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
Rachel Atwood 43.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5
Jenette Northey 50.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Christie Schiel 60.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Rachel Sullivan 78.1 0.0
Michelle Cline 112.4
Kaylee Schmitz 115.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.3% 6.7% 0.0 0.3 0.0 3
4 1.8% 1.8 4
5 5.7% 5.7 5
6 12.6% 12.6 6
7 14.9% 14.9 7
8 17.3% 17.3 8
9 16.6% 16.6 9
10 13.0% 13.0 10
11 9.8% 9.8 11
12 5.5% 5.5 12
13 2.1% 2.1 13
14 0.5% 0.5 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0