Ohio State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
63  Katie Borchers JR 19:51
167  Michelle Thomas JR 20:17
562  Sakiko Minagawa SO 21:03
627  Nicole Hilton JR 21:08
650  Helen Willman SO 21:10
890  Andrea McArdle JR 21:26
900  Jill Kanney FR 21:26
933  Minori Minagawa SO 21:29
1,134  McArdle Andrea JR 21:41
1,308  Weber Rachel FR 21:53
1,631  Mallory Kreider SR 22:12
National Rank #51 of 340
Great Lakes Region Rank #7 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.9%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.3%
Top 10 in Regional 86.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Borchers Michelle Thomas Sakiko Minagawa Nicole Hilton Helen Willman Andrea McArdle Jill Kanney Minori Minagawa McArdle Andrea Weber Rachel Mallory Kreider
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 977 20:17 20:36 21:03 21:48 21:24 21:17 21:53 22:29
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 903 20:02 20:28 20:59 21:18 21:12 21:25 21:43
Big Ten Championships 11/03 763 19:52 19:49 20:59 20:57 21:10 21:26 21:42 21:18 22:01
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 796 19:50 20:13 21:16 20:46 20:57 21:28 21:42
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.9% 27.1 643 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2
Region Championship 100% 8.6 258 0.4 1.8 5.1 16.4 27.3 21.1 14.1 7.9 3.9 1.6 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Borchers 91.6% 62.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6
Michelle Thomas 21.6% 116.6
Sakiko Minagawa 2.9% 212.3
Nicole Hilton 2.9% 220.2
Helen Willman 2.9% 223.7
Andrea McArdle 2.9% 240.8
Jill Kanney 2.9% 242.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Borchers 10.1 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.8 4.9 5.1 6.5 5.9 5.6 5.9 6.3 5.6 5.8 5.0 4.3 4.4 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.6
Michelle Thomas 24.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.7 4.2 4.2 5.0 4.3 4.2 4.9 4.7
Sakiko Minagawa 69.2 0.0
Nicole Hilton 75.2
Helen Willman 77.8
Andrea McArdle 96.6
Jill Kanney 97.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.4% 59.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 4
5 1.8% 48.9% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.9 5
6 5.1% 22.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.9 1.1 6
7 16.4% 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 16.0 0.4 7
8 27.3% 0.9% 0.0 0.2 27.1 0.2 8
9 21.1% 21.1 9
10 14.1% 14.1 10
11 7.9% 7.9 11
12 3.9% 3.9 12
13 1.6% 1.6 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 2.9% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 97.1 0.0 2.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Wisconsin 35.7% 1.0 0.4
Baylor 3.8% 2.0 0.1
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0