Colorado
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
18  Shalaya Kipp SR 19:27
69  Carrie Verdon SO 19:53
81  Erin Clark FR 19:58
93  Abbey Levene SR 20:01
95  Melanie Nun FR 20:02
272  Elizabeth Tremblay SR 20:33
284  Jenny DeSouchet SO 20:34
321  Catrina McAlister SO 20:40
374  Maddie Alm SO 20:45
483  Courtney Bouchet SR 20:55
National Rank #5 of 340
Mountain Region Rank #1 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Nationals


National Champion 5.6%
Top 5 at Nationals 38.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 73.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 98.6%


Regional Champion 80.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shalaya Kipp Carrie Verdon Erin Clark Abbey Levene Melanie Nun Elizabeth Tremblay Jenny DeSouchet Catrina McAlister Maddie Alm Courtney Bouchet
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/28 790 19:38 20:43 20:48 20:38 21:30 20:54
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 432 19:43 19:50 19:55 20:13 20:40 20:32 20:56
Pac-12 Championships 11/02 279 19:21 19:29 19:45 20:41 19:54 20:24 21:02 20:21 20:31 20:55
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 447 19:55 20:03 20:04 20:16 20:08 20:21 20:22
NCAA Championship 11/23 350 19:15 20:21 20:08 19:49 19:55 20:40 20:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 7.8 273 5.6 7.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.2 7.6 7.2 5.7 5.8 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.1 2.6 2.6 1.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.2 33 80.4 19.6 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shalaya Kipp 100% 22.5 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.4 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.4 2.5 3.0 2.3 2.5 1.8
Carrie Verdon 100% 69.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5
Erin Clark 100% 80.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Abbey Levene 100% 90.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Melanie Nun 100% 93.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Elizabeth Tremblay 100% 176.6
Jenny DeSouchet 100% 181.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shalaya Kipp 1.0 49.3 22.3 20.3 5.6 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Carrie Verdon 5.1 0.8 5.1 8.4 17.5 16.5 14.2 10.9 8.6 5.7 4.1 2.7 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Erin Clark 6.4 0.3 2.5 4.7 11.1 12.8 13.3 12.0 9.9 9.6 6.5 4.8 3.6 2.5 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Abbey Levene 7.6 0.0 1.0 2.5 6.2 9.8 11.0 12.1 11.8 9.9 8.2 7.1 4.8 3.7 3.2 2.4 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Melanie Nun 8.1 0.0 0.9 2.0 5.5 7.9 9.9 11.6 11.3 11.2 9.0 7.8 5.9 4.8 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Elizabeth Tremblay 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.5 3.6 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.9 4.7 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.3 4.7 3.9
Jenny DeSouchet 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.4 5.2 4.2 5.4 4.5 4.7 4.4 4.5 4.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 80.4% 100.0% 80.4 80.4 1
2 19.6% 100.0% 19.6 19.6 2
3 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 100.0% 80.4 19.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
William and Mary 95.9% 1.0 1.0
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Washington 94.2% 1.0 0.9
Oregon 92.8% 1.0 0.9
Stanford 68.7% 2.0 1.4
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 47.8% 1.0 0.5
Arizona State 33.7% 1.0 0.3
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Boise State 16.2% 1.0 0.2
Mississippi 15.0% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 7.6
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 13.0