Columbia
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
33  Waverly Neer JR 19:36
418  Chelsea Carrick SR 20:50
456  Caroline Williams SR 20:53
460  Madeline Rathbun JR 20:53
530  Pegah Kamrani FR 21:00
588  Samantha SIler FR 21:05
704  Leila Mantilla SO 21:13
742  Danika Simonson SR 21:16
821  Olivia Sadler SO 21:21
845  Aryn Foland JR 21:23
1,019  Sydney Segal FR 21:35
1,077  Emma Giantisco SR 21:38
1,086  Natalie Tanner FR 21:38
1,301  Georgia Tuttle FR 21:52
1,412  Trina Bills SR 21:59
1,668  Sarah Eagan SR 22:14
1,733  Lexi Schustrom SR 22:18
2,056  Sarah Burke FR 22:39
2,235  Henna Rustami FR 22:51
2,634  Devon Towell FR 23:17
2,889  Brittney Wade FR 23:40
2,898  Erica Johnson FR 23:41
National Rank #52 of 340
Northeast Region Rank #10 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 6.7%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 8.5%
Top 10 in Regional 86.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Waverly Neer Chelsea Carrick Caroline Williams Madeline Rathbun Pegah Kamrani Samantha SIler Leila Mantilla Danika Simonson Olivia Sadler Aryn Foland Sydney Segal
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 627 19:28 20:39 21:05 20:50 20:05 20:27 21:26 21:32 21:32
NYC Metro Championships 10/11 1161 21:03 21:08 21:36
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 853 19:30 20:51 21:17 21:13 21:11 20:37 21:20
Princeton Invitational 10/19 1176 21:25 21:12 21:14 21:31
Ivy League Championships 11/02 764 19:33 20:58 20:27 20:43 20:49 21:17 22:22 21:56 21:56 21:24 21:40
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 802 19:21 20:45 20:38 20:54 21:07 21:26 21:29
NCAA Championship 11/23 21:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 6.7% 27.2 654 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9
Region Championship 100% 8.5 254 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 5.4 8.5 13.4 17.4 19.9 18.4 8.3 3.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Waverly Neer 98.7% 35.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.7 2.2 1.8
Chelsea Carrick 6.7% 190.0
Caroline Williams 6.7% 197.0
Madeline Rathbun 6.7% 201.8
Pegah Kamrani 6.7% 212.7
Samantha SIler 6.7% 219.8
Leila Mantilla 6.7% 233.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Waverly Neer 7.1 0.1 1.6 4.7 6.5 10.0 12.1 13.6 12.5 10.6 7.9 6.4 3.7 3.1 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Chelsea Carrick 57.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
Caroline Williams 61.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Madeline Rathbun 61.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Pegah Kamrani 70.4 0.0 0.0
Samantha SIler 75.2
Leila Mantilla 84.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.7% 78.4% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 3
4 2.2% 54.5% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.2 4
5 5.4% 30.7% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 3.7 1.7 5
6 8.5% 19.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 6.9 1.7 6
7 13.4% 6.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 12.6 0.8 7
8 17.4% 3.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 16.8 0.6 8
9 19.9% 0.2% 0.0 19.8 0.0 9
10 18.4% 18.4 10
11 8.3% 8.3 11
12 3.8% 3.8 12
13 1.2% 1.2 13
14 0.5% 0.5 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 6.7% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 93.3 0.1 6.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
West Virginia 10.9% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 9.4% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0