Duke
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
10  Juliet Bottorff SR 19:18
234  Carolyn Baskir JR 20:28
250  Anima Banks FR 20:30
343  Hannah Meier FR 20:42
398  Haley Meier FR 20:47
407  Jessie Rubin JR 20:48
723  Colleen Schmidt SO 21:15
969  Sophia Ziemian JR 21:32
997  Kelsey Lakowske SO 21:33
1,009  Madison Granger FR 21:34
1,043  Julianna Miller SO 21:36
1,073  Dana Morin JR 21:37
1,220  Abby Farley JR 21:47
1,353  Ashley Berry SR 21:56
1,739  Colette Whitney JR 22:18
1,856  Allison Sturges FR 22:25
2,045  Grace Chang FR 22:39
2,792  Rebecca Craigie JR 23:31
3,060  Lindsey Olivere SO 23:58
3,140  Gina Daniel FR 24:10
National Rank #27 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #3 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 21.3%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 6.8%


Regional Champion 0.5%
Top 5 in Regional 90.0%
Top 10 in Regional 99.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Juliet Bottorff Carolyn Baskir Anima Banks Hannah Meier Haley Meier Jessie Rubin Colleen Schmidt Sophia Ziemian Kelsey Lakowske Madison Granger Julianna Miller
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 808 19:15 20:20 21:39 21:31 21:55 20:47
Queens Royal Challenge 10/11 1252 21:35
Blue Ridge Open 10/18 1295
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 811 19:28 21:14 20:34 21:04 20:39 21:27 22:22
ACC Championships 11/01 645 19:15 20:06 20:41 20:31 20:59 21:04 21:38 21:37
3 Stripe Invite 11/09 1239 21:32 21:18
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 647 19:20 20:21 20:36 20:27 20:48 20:49 22:09
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 21.3% 22.3 536 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.8 156 0.5 5.5 50.0 22.7 11.3 5.3 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Juliet Bottorff 100% 11.8 2.5 4.2 4.9 5.0 4.8 5.0 3.8 4.3 4.0 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.3 3.2 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.5 1.7
Carolyn Baskir 21.3% 147.2
Anima Banks 21.3% 152.4
Hannah Meier 21.3% 188.7
Haley Meier 21.3% 195.4
Jessie Rubin 21.3% 200.0
Colleen Schmidt 21.3% 238.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Juliet Bottorff 1.7 35.1 20.0 14.3 11.3 8.4 4.9 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Carolyn Baskir 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.8
Anima Banks 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.6 3.2 3.0 3.3
Hannah Meier 44.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3
Haley Meier 50.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5
Jessie Rubin 50.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6
Colleen Schmidt 86.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 1
2 5.5% 100.0% 5.5 5.5 2
3 50.0% 29.5% 0.2 3.7 3.0 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 35.3 14.8 3
4 22.7% 1.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 22.3 0.4 4
5 11.3% 0.5% 0.1 11.2 0.1 5
6 5.3% 5.3 6
7 2.4% 2.4 7
8 1.2% 1.2 8
9 0.6% 0.6 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 21.3% 0.5 5.5 0.2 3.7 3.1 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 78.7 6.0 15.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0