Harvard
Men
-
Women
2012
-
2013 -
2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
113 |
Viviana Hanley |
JR |
20:06 |
135 |
Morgan Kelly |
SR |
20:11 |
263 |
Emily Reese |
SR |
20:32 |
386 |
Molly Renfer |
JR |
20:46 |
523 |
Madeleine Ankhelyi |
FR |
20:59 |
763 |
Jen Guidera |
JR |
21:17 |
803 |
Sarah Gillespie |
FR |
21:20 |
846 |
Selena Pasadyn |
SO |
21:23 |
938 |
Caroline Marshall |
FR |
21:29 |
1,098 |
Erika Veidis |
JR |
21:39 |
1,155 |
Stephanie Deccy |
FR |
21:43 |
1,526 |
Lauren DiNicola |
SR |
22:05 |
1,897 |
Paige Kouba |
SO |
22:28 |
2,031 |
Emma Payne |
SO |
22:38 |
2,245 |
Ritchey Howe |
FR |
22:52 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
4.5% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
38.5% |
Top 10 in Regional |
97.6% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Viviana Hanley |
Morgan Kelly |
Emily Reese |
Molly Renfer |
Madeleine Ankhelyi |
Jen Guidera |
Sarah Gillespie |
Selena Pasadyn |
Caroline Marshall |
Erika Veidis |
Stephanie Deccy |
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational |
09/28 |
890 |
20:13 |
20:23 |
|
21:46 |
20:49 |
21:06 |
23:10 |
21:13 |
21:23 |
21:34 |
|
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) |
10/05 |
638 |
19:57 |
20:13 |
19:54 |
|
21:20 |
20:49 |
20:53 |
21:47 |
21:25 |
|
21:39 |
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/19 |
758 |
20:19 |
20:03 |
20:32 |
|
20:57 |
|
21:13 |
20:44 |
21:41 |
22:26 |
|
Princeton Invitational |
10/19 |
1190 |
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20:48 |
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21:43 |
Ivy League Championships |
11/02 |
654 |
19:59 |
20:00 |
20:31 |
20:36 |
21:05 |
21:36 |
20:43 |
21:53 |
21:31 |
21:16 |
21:49 |
Northeast Region Championships |
11/15 |
795 |
20:04 |
20:23 |
21:11 |
20:25 |
20:55 |
21:41 |
21:46 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
46.9% |
25.6 |
610 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
Region Championship |
100% |
6.2 |
206 |
|
0.5 |
6.9 |
12.7 |
18.4 |
20.8 |
15.1 |
11.1 |
7.9 |
4.3 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Viviana Hanley |
50.1% |
87.6 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
Morgan Kelly |
48.0% |
101.9 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
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Emily Reese |
47.0% |
161.5 |
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Molly Renfer |
46.9% |
196.8 |
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Madeleine Ankhelyi |
46.9% |
220.7 |
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Jen Guidera |
46.9% |
240.8 |
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Sarah Gillespie |
47.0% |
242.8 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Viviana Hanley |
18.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.9 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
Morgan Kelly |
21.6 |
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|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
Emily Reese |
38.1 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
Molly Renfer |
54.1 |
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0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Madeleine Ankhelyi |
69.4 |
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0.0 |
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Jen Guidera |
89.2 |
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Sarah Gillespie |
92.0 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
|
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|
Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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| |
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1 |
2 |
0.5% |
100.0% |
|
0.5 |
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0.5 |
|
2 |
3 |
6.9% |
98.8% |
| |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
6.8 |
3 |
4 |
12.7% |
91.8% |
| |
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|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
11.7 |
4 |
5 |
18.4% |
76.0% |
| |
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|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
|
14.0 |
5 |
6 |
20.8% |
50.0% |
| |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
10.4 |
|
10.4 |
6 |
7 |
15.1% |
22.3% |
| |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
11.7 |
|
3.4 |
7 |
8 |
11.1% |
2.2% |
| |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
10.8 |
|
0.2 |
8 |
9 |
7.9% |
0.3% |
| |
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0.0 |
7.9 |
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0.0 |
9 |
10 |
4.3% |
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4.3 |
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10 |
11 |
1.7% |
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1.7 |
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11 |
12 |
0.5% |
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0.5 |
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12 |
13 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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13 |
14 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
39 |
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39 |
40 |
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40 |
41 |
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41 |
42 |
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42 |
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Total |
100% |
46.9% |
|
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
6.4 |
7.7 |
7.3 |
8.1 |
53.1 |
0.5 |
46.5 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Vanderbilt |
73.9% |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Texas A&M |
56.7% |
1.0 |
0.6 |
Penn State |
54.0% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Princeton |
47.8% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Florida |
29.1% |
1.0 |
0.3 |
Mississippi |
15.0% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
West Virginia |
10.9% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Alabama |
9.4% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
BYU |
9.3% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Texas |
8.2% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Duke |
6.3% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Georgia |
6.1% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
North Carolina St. |
4.8% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Toledo |
2.9% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Columbia |
1.5% |
2.0 |
0.0 |
UC Davis |
0.3% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Weber State |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Auburn |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Northwestern |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Stony Brook |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
|
Total |
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3.4 |
|
Minimum |
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1.0 |
Maximum |
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8.0 |