Indiana
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
48  Samantha Ginther SR 19:44
163  Kelsey Duerksen JR 20:16
235  Amanda Behnke FR 20:28
323  Erica Ridderman SR 20:40
431  Brianna Johnson SO 20:50
645  Chanli Mundy FR 21:10
647  Bethany Neeley FR 21:10
793  Molly Winters JR 21:19
870  Samantha Gwin JR 21:25
1,378  Kelsey Kluesner FR 21:57
1,743  Sara Brown FR 22:19
1,925  Taylor Wiley FR 22:30
National Rank #26 of 340
Great Lakes Region Rank #6 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 77.5%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 14.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 53.2%
Top 10 in Regional 99.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Samantha Ginther Kelsey Duerksen Amanda Behnke Erica Ridderman Brianna Johnson Chanli Mundy Bethany Neeley Molly Winters Samantha Gwin Kelsey Kluesner Sara Brown
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 607 19:23 19:43 20:50 20:43 20:37 20:57 20:53 21:24 22:15
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 528 19:35 19:29 20:29 20:27 20:41 20:40 21:35
Pre-National Invitational (White) 10/19 1212 21:10 21:20 21:45 22:19
Big Ten Championships 11/03 782 19:53 20:37 20:24 21:14 20:43 21:26 21:31 21:31
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 785 19:48 21:54 20:22 20:28 21:21 21:13 21:05
NCAA Championship 11/23 834 20:04 20:23 20:41 21:09 21:38 20:57 21:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 77.5% 24.2 579 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.8 1.9 3.2 4.3 4.7 5.4 6.4 7.0 7.1 7.6 6.7 5.7 5.3 4.3 2.5
Region Championship 100% 5.5 168 0.0 0.3 2.3 22.6 27.9 28.2 12.5 4.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Ginther 97.2% 50.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.3
Kelsey Duerksen 77.7% 124.3 0.0
Amanda Behnke 77.5% 157.2
Erica Ridderman 77.5% 189.3
Brianna Johnson 77.5% 211.5
Chanli Mundy 77.5% 237.9
Bethany Neeley 77.5% 237.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Ginther 7.0 6.5 6.8 7.9 8.3 7.1 6.7 6.7 7.1 6.3 5.8 5.0 4.1 3.7 3.8 2.9 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
Kelsey Duerksen 24.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.6 3.3 3.5 3.4 4.5 4.2 4.5 4.9 4.5 5.1
Amanda Behnke 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.4 3.0 3.3
Erica Ridderman 43.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7
Brianna Johnson 54.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Chanli Mundy 78.1
Bethany Neeley 77.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 2.3% 100.0% 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 3
4 22.6% 98.2% 0.8 2.1 3.0 3.0 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 22.2 4
5 27.9% 93.0% 0.7 1.1 1.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.4 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.3 1.9 25.9 5
6 28.2% 77.8% 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.7 3.6 3.2 2.8 6.3 21.9 6
7 12.5% 36.6% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 7.9 4.6 7
8 4.0% 2.0% 0.0 0.1 3.9 0.1 8
9 1.4% 1.4 9
10 0.5% 0.5 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 77.5% 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.1 2.9 4.5 5.9 6.9 8.0 8.5 9.1 7.5 8.4 7.3 6.9 22.5 0.4 77.1




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Cornell 80.6% 1.0 0.8
Notre Dame 74.1% 1.0 0.7
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Harvard 37.3% 2.0 0.7
Wisconsin 35.7% 2.0 0.7
Arizona State 33.7% 1.0 0.3
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
West Virginia 10.9% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 9.4% 1.0 0.1
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 12.0