Kentucky
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
20  Cally Macumber SR 19:27
201  Allison Peare SR 20:23
318  Anna Bostrom SR 20:40
421  Cassidy Hale FR 20:50
591  Taylor Wendler JR 21:05
1,029  Amy Hansen FR 21:35
1,589  Kristen Hale FR 22:10
National Rank #33 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #4 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 31.9%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 59.0%
Top 10 in Regional 97.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Cally Macumber Allison Peare Anna Bostrom Cassidy Hale Taylor Wendler Amy Hansen Kristen Hale
Cowboy Jamboree 09/28 825 19:35 20:31 20:45 21:12 21:06 21:29 21:55
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 737 19:39 20:10 21:18 20:29 21:00 21:34 21:52
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 735 19:21 20:19 20:30 21:00 21:12 21:46 22:57
SEC Championships 11/01 715 19:46 20:26 20:28 20:30 21:07 21:42 22:16
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 763 19:20 20:31 20:34 20:57 21:04 21:28 22:10
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 31.9% 25.7 609 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.7 2.7 2.5 3.6 3.3 3.6 3.9 3.2 2.7 1.2
Region Championship 100% 5.5 204 0.8 13.0 23.6 21.7 15.6 10.7 6.0 4.3 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cally Macumber 99.3% 22.8 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.8 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.6 2.4
Allison Peare 32.0% 133.1
Anna Bostrom 31.9% 176.3
Cassidy Hale 31.9% 201.1
Taylor Wendler 31.9% 227.0
Amy Hansen 31.9% 248.0
Kristen Hale 32.2% 252.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Cally Macumber 3.7 10.5 13.1 15.0 15.3 14.4 11.9 8.0 5.2 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Allison Peare 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.8 4.6 4.4 4.3 3.9 4.4 3.5
Anna Bostrom 41.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.4
Cassidy Hale 53.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7
Taylor Wendler 73.8 0.0
Amy Hansen 116.3
Kristen Hale 173.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.8% 100.0% 0.8 0.8 2
3 13.0% 89.7% 0.2 3.0 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 11.6 3
4 23.6% 79.1% 0.4 5.3 4.2 2.2 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.7 4.9 18.7 4
5 21.7% 4.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 20.8 0.9 5
6 15.6% 15.6 6
7 10.7% 10.7 7
8 6.0% 6.0 8
9 4.3% 4.3 9
10 2.1% 2.1 10
11 1.4% 1.4 11
12 0.6% 0.6 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 31.9% 0.8 0.2 3.5 8.0 5.9 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.4 68.1 0.8 31.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
Mississippi 15.0% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 9.4% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.0% 2.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.3
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 8.0