Lipscomb
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
286  Sally Larson FR 20:35
368  Madelin Talbert SO 20:45
500  Tessa Hoefle SR 20:57
654  Dani Walker JR 21:10
895  Hannah Feiten FR 21:26
1,024  Kayla Droessler JR 21:35
1,085  Brooke Gordon FR 21:38
1,124  Barbara Lee Ball FR 21:41
1,352  Kelsey Ibarra FR 21:56
1,367  Kendra Lobley JR 21:57
1,419  Kaitlyn Llewellyn JR 21:59
National Rank #99 of 340
South Region Rank #9 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.1%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 13.9%
Top 10 in Regional 98.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Sally Larson Madelin Talbert Tessa Hoefle Dani Walker Hannah Feiten Kayla Droessler Brooke Gordon Barbara Lee Ball Kelsey Ibarra Kendra Lobley Kaitlyn Llewellyn
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 960 20:21 20:45 20:41 21:33 21:47 21:09 21:34 21:57 21:51
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 907 20:26 20:30 21:15 20:24 21:35 22:08 22:30
Atlantic Sun Championship 11/02 1106 20:50 21:14 20:56 21:18 21:25 21:33 22:01 22:04 22:00
South Region Championships 11/15 1038 20:48 20:42 20:56 21:13 21:12 21:33 21:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.1% 29.5 747 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Region Championship 100% 7.7 249 0.7 2.2 4.5 6.5 10.5 15.8 19.6 24.8 14.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sally Larson 2.8% 141.0
Madelin Talbert 1.3% 151.5
Tessa Hoefle 1.2% 188.0
Dani Walker 1.1% 218.0
Hannah Feiten 1.1% 238.5
Kayla Droessler 1.1% 242.7
Brooke Gordon 1.1% 246.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sally Larson 24.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.6 4.1 4.0 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.1 4.2
Madelin Talbert 33.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.8 2.9
Tessa Hoefle 46.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9
Dani Walker 61.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Hannah Feiten 80.9 0.0
Kayla Droessler 91.5
Brooke Gordon 94.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 2
3 2.2% 12.6% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.3 3
4 4.5% 2.7% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.4 0.1 4
5 6.5% 6.5 5
6 10.5% 10.5 6
7 15.8% 15.8 7
8 19.6% 19.6 8
9 24.8% 24.8 9
10 14.0% 14.0 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 1.1% 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9 0.7 0.4




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 3.8% 2.0 0.1
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0