Princeton
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
47  Megan Curham FR 19:44
150  Emily de La Bruyere JR 20:15
400  Kathryn Fluehr SO 20:47
493  Elizabeth Bird FR 20:56
524  Molly Higgins SR 20:59
596  Kathryn Little SO 21:06
671  Kaitlin Hanss FR 21:12
677  Clare Gallagher SR 21:12
697  Lindsay Eysenbach JR 21:13
901  Rachael Chacko FR 21:27
1,054  Alexandra Markovich FR 21:37
1,402  Jessica Ackerman FR 21:59
1,409  Marisa Cummings SR 21:59
1,499  Jackie Nicholas JR 22:04
1,766  Nicole Marvin FR 22:20
1,992  Amanda Chang SO 22:35
1,994  Mary Hui FR 22:35
2,303  Henrietta Miers SR 22:56
2,687  Sarah Porter SO 23:22
National Rank #39 of 340
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #5 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 54.0%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 80.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Megan Curham Emily de La Bruyere Kathryn Fluehr Elizabeth Bird Molly Higgins Kathryn Little Kaitlin Hanss Clare Gallagher Lindsay Eysenbach Rachael Chacko Alexandra Markovich
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 742 19:58 20:13 21:10 20:38 20:37 21:06 21:27 21:19
Princeton Invitational 10/19 1218 21:18 21:16 21:57
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 669 19:40 20:08 20:39 20:48 20:37 21:07 20:53
Ivy League Championships 11/02 712 19:39 20:07 20:37 21:05 21:29 21:02 21:12 21:12 20:49 21:57 21:15
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 835 20:00 20:12 21:00 21:14 21:30 21:10 20:59
NCAA Championship 11/23 860 19:34 20:57 20:44 21:01 21:05 21:19 22:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 54.0% 27.0 648 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.2 2.9 4.1 5.5 6.1 7.4 8.2 7.4 5.2
Region Championship 100% 4.6 134 0.0 2.6 15.6 25.8 36.8 14.5 3.9 0.7 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Curham 99.8% 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2
Emily de La Bruyere 75.6% 120.3 0.0 0.0
Kathryn Fluehr 54.1% 204.1
Elizabeth Bird 54.0% 219.2
Molly Higgins 54.0% 224.8
Kathryn Little 54.0% 233.2
Kaitlin Hanss 54.0% 239.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Curham 3.1 5.3 24.6 19.4 14.0 11.6 8.9 6.2 3.9 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Emily de La Bruyere 12.2 0.0 0.8 1.9 2.8 3.8 5.4 6.3 7.3 7.2 6.7 6.5 6.6 6.0 5.8 4.8 4.4 3.6 3.6 3.4 2.8 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.9
Kathryn Fluehr 32.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.0 3.4 2.9
Elizabeth Bird 40.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.2
Molly Higgins 44.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.8
Kathryn Little 51.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4
Kaitlin Hanss 59.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 2.6% 100.0% 2.6 2.6 2
3 15.6% 82.3% 0.3 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.1 2.8 12.8 3
4 25.8% 71.2% 0.3 3.0 1.9 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.7 0.9 1.6 7.4 18.4 4
5 36.8% 53.0% 0.1 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.0 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.9 1.9 2.2 17.3 19.5 5
6 14.5% 5.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.8 0.7 6
7 3.9% 3.9 7
8 0.7% 0.7 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 54.0% 0.0 2.6 0.3 3.3 4.6 4.0 3.9 3.6 4.1 3.8 4.3 5.1 5.5 3.9 5.0 46.0 2.6 51.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 74.1% 1.0 0.7
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
SMU 33.5% 2.0 0.7
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Boise State 16.2% 1.0 0.2
Mississippi 15.0% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 2.0 0.1
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 2.0 0.1
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 2.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 11.0