Tennessee
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
148  Chelsea Blaase SO 20:14
206  Alexis Panisse SO 20:24
595  Emily Williams FR 21:06
708  Kelsey Kane SR 21:13
848  Amirah Johnson JR 21:23
1,500  Patavia Lowery SR 22:04
1,954  Kianna Ruff SR 22:32
2,294  Caroline Duer SO 22:55
2,397  Nijgia Snapp SR 23:02
3,384  Brittney Jackson SR 24:50
National Rank #73 of 340
South Region Rank #7 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.9%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 20.2%
Top 10 in Regional 99.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Chelsea Blaase Alexis Panisse Emily Williams Kelsey Kane Amirah Johnson Patavia Lowery Kianna Ruff Caroline Duer Nijgia Snapp Brittney Jackson
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 956 20:45 20:09 20:46 21:30 21:48 22:13 23:03 22:58 26:23
Greater Louisville Classic (Silver) 10/05 21:25
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/18 1026 20:28 20:42 21:10 21:25 21:20 22:14 22:26 22:48 22:45 23:38
SEC Championships 11/01 830 19:54 20:14 21:05 20:52 21:17 22:36 23:23 23:13 23:40
South Region Championships 11/15 937 20:03 20:31 21:11 21:19 21:28 21:46 22:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.9% 28.5 702 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3
Region Championship 100% 7.1 232 1.0 3.1 6.1 10.0 14.4 18.7 22.2 17.3 6.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chelsea Blaase 26.4% 107.6 0.0
Alexis Panisse 9.3% 126.6
Emily Williams 1.9% 214.9
Kelsey Kane 1.9% 226.8
Amirah Johnson 1.9% 235.5
Patavia Lowery 2.0% 250.0
Kianna Ruff 2.0% 252.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chelsea Blaase 12.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.4 2.5 3.9 4.8 5.7 6.5 6.9 8.4 7.7 7.0 6.9 6.2 5.1 4.3 4.2 3.3 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.9
Alexis Panisse 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.5 5.3 6.3 5.9 6.5 6.6 5.2 5.4 4.5 4.5 4.3 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.5
Emily Williams 55.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4
Kelsey Kane 65.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
Amirah Johnson 76.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Patavia Lowery 126.6
Kianna Ruff 155.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 1.0% 100.0% 1.0 1.0 2
3 3.1% 23.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.4 0.7 3
4 6.1% 3.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.9 0.2 4
5 10.0% 10.0 5
6 14.4% 14.4 6
7 18.7% 18.7 7
8 22.2% 22.2 8
9 17.3% 17.3 9
10 6.8% 6.8 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 1.9% 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.1 1.0 0.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 15.0% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Miss State 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0