Toledo
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
196  Brooke Tullis JR 20:22
245  Megan Wright JR 20:29
361  Megan Gaysunas JR 20:44
420  Mackenzie Chojnacky JR 20:50
432  Liz Weiler JR 20:51
517  Priscilla Timmons JR 20:59
615  Devyn Ramsay SR 21:07
961  Kristal Studer SR 21:31
1,184  Theresa Warsecke FR 21:44
1,291  Janelle Noe FR 21:51
1,532  Lindsey Burdette SO 22:06
1,548  Megan Vogelsong SR 22:07
1,667  Julia Pusateri SO 22:14
1,920  Sharon Morgan SO 22:30
1,947  Kelly Morgan JR 22:31
2,050  Deirdre Dwyer FR 22:39
2,390  Natalie Camardo FR 23:01
2,442  Kelsey Calhoun SO 23:06
2,679  Marissa Rossetti FR 23:21
2,686  Stephanie Ingraham SO 23:22
2,770  Megan Csehi JR 23:29
National Rank #54 of 340
Great Lakes Region Rank #8 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 14.7%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.6%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 12.3%
Top 10 in Regional 96.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Brooke Tullis Megan Wright Megan Gaysunas Mackenzie Chojnacky Liz Weiler Priscilla Timmons Devyn Ramsay Kristal Studer Theresa Warsecke Janelle Noe Lindsey Burdette
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 982 20:36 20:48 20:49 20:51 22:09 21:15
Wilmington College Fall Classic 10/18 1256 21:51 22:06
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 792 20:19 20:28 20:35 20:50 20:44 20:37 21:34
Mid-American Championships 11/02 846 20:23 20:28 20:42 20:50 20:47 21:15 21:07 21:05 22:09
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 858 20:15 20:19 20:54 20:49 21:09 21:04 21:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 14.7% 26.9 653 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.4 2.2 2.1
Region Championship 100% 7.3 220 0.2 3.5 8.6 17.3 33.3 17.6 10.7 5.1 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Tullis 20.6% 123.1
Megan Wright 16.1% 143.6
Megan Gaysunas 14.9% 181.1
Mackenzie Chojnacky 14.8% 196.3
Liz Weiler 14.7% 198.5
Priscilla Timmons 14.7% 213.3
Devyn Ramsay 14.7% 227.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brooke Tullis 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.7 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.9 3.6 3.9 4.3
Megan Wright 34.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.2 3.1 2.6
Megan Gaysunas 47.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5
Mackenzie Chojnacky 53.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
Liz Weiler 54.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Priscilla Timmons 64.3
Devyn Ramsay 74.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3
4 3.5% 89.6% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 3.1 4
5 8.6% 65.0% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.4 3.0 5.6 5
6 17.3% 28.9% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.9 12.3 5.0 6
7 33.3% 2.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 32.5 0.8 7
8 17.6% 0.2% 0.0 17.6 0.0 8
9 10.7% 10.7 9
10 5.1% 5.1 10
11 2.3% 2.3 11
12 1.2% 1.2 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 14.7% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.2 1.9 85.3 0.0 14.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0