Towson
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
396  Elizabeth Tauber JR 20:47
1,258  Ashley Simmons JR 21:49
1,875  Kara Bucaro JR 22:27
2,290  Megan Knoblock FR 22:55
2,755  Michelle Vanagas FR 23:28
2,914  Karen Cohen SO 23:42
3,183  Bethann Ilgenfritz FR 24:17
3,230  Elaina Malone SR 24:24
3,246  Leslie Miles SR 24:26
3,250  Kelsey Kollar SO 24:27
3,587  Jacqueline Mazer SO 25:47
National Rank #201 of 340
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #20 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 24th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 6.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elizabeth Tauber Ashley Simmons Kara Bucaro Megan Knoblock Michelle Vanagas Karen Cohen Bethann Ilgenfritz Elaina Malone Leslie Miles Kelsey Kollar Jacqueline Mazer
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Brown) 10/05 1153 20:20 22:12 22:30 22:52 22:44 23:29 24:08 24:28 25:10
Penn State National 10/18 1264 21:12 21:46 22:33 22:26 23:27 23:48 24:03 24:40 24:44 25:23
CAA Championships 11/02 1223 20:40 21:48 22:24 22:57 23:37 23:30 24:48 24:25 24:15 23:59 30:05
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 1291 20:55 21:45 22:22 23:36 24:00 24:07 24:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.7 704 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.9 6.8 7.8 10.3 14.2 14.0 14.0 10.4 7.7 4.9 2.2 0.8



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Tauber 7.6% 189.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Tauber 32.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.6 3.2 3.4
Ashley Simmons 112.0
Kara Bucaro 160.6
Megan Knoblock 184.5
Michelle Vanagas 214.6
Karen Cohen 223.0
Bethann Ilgenfritz 236.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.2% 0.2 17
18 0.7% 0.7 18
19 1.9% 1.9 19
20 3.9% 3.9 20
21 6.8% 6.8 21
22 7.8% 7.8 22
23 10.3% 10.3 23
24 14.2% 14.2 24
25 14.0% 14.0 25
26 14.0% 14.0 26
27 10.4% 10.4 27
28 7.7% 7.7 28
29 4.9% 4.9 29
30 2.2% 2.2 30
31 0.8% 0.8 31
32 0.1% 0.1 32
33 0.0% 0.0 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0