Virginia
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
13  Barbara Strehler SR 19:24
61  Maria Hauger FR 19:49
99  Kathleen Stevens JR 20:03
109  Sarah Fakler FR 20:05
172  Cleo Boyd SO 20:17
211  Sara Sargent FR 20:24
223  Vicky Fouhy SR 20:26
507  Audrey Batzel SO 20:57
571  Jennifer Flack FR 21:04
1,240  Alexa Cowne FR 21:48
National Rank #11 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #1 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Nationals


National Champion 2.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 25.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 60.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 97.3%


Regional Champion 68.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Barbara Strehler Maria Hauger Kathleen Stevens Sarah Fakler Cleo Boyd Sara Sargent Vicky Fouhy Audrey Batzel Jennifer Flack Alexa Cowne
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 348 19:12 19:44 20:08 20:04 20:15 20:20 21:26 21:49
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 384 19:31 19:58 20:02 20:09 20:37 20:14 20:19
ACC Championships 11/01 350 19:29 19:47 19:57 20:00 20:22 20:38 20:33 20:57 20:45
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 327 19:20 19:47 20:17 19:54 20:02 20:19 20:44
NCAA Championship 11/23 381 19:28 19:52 19:58 20:28 20:10 20:42 20:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100.0% 9.6 304 2.2 4.7 5.3 6.4 7.1 7.2 7.1 7.5 7.0 6.3 5.6 5.1 5.0 4.2 4.1 3.5 2.8 3.0 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.3 64 68.4 30.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barbara Strehler 100% 18.4 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.8 3.7 2.9 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.8 2.5 2.7 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.2
Maria Hauger 100.0% 60.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Kathleen Stevens 100.0% 93.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Sarah Fakler 100.0% 99.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cleo Boyd 100.0% 133.9
Sara Sargent 100.0% 152.0
Vicky Fouhy 100.0% 156.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Barbara Strehler 3.0 16.7 18.5 15.3 14.8 13.1 9.5 6.3 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maria Hauger 8.5 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.7 8.4 11.1 14.1 13.1 11.1 8.5 6.5 5.3 3.5 2.1 2.1 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2
Kathleen Stevens 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.5 4.2 6.1 7.3 9.8 9.4 8.8 7.3 6.9 5.6 4.9 4.1 3.5 3.3 3.0 2.3 1.7 1.3 1.1
Sarah Fakler 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.3 5.2 6.0 7.7 8.1 8.4 8.1 7.8 5.9 5.6 5.5 4.3 3.6 2.8 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.3
Cleo Boyd 20.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.9 3.0 3.2 4.4 4.9 5.1 5.5 5.1 5.5 5.3 4.7 4.9 4.6 3.8 3.6
Sara Sargent 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.5 4.0 4.3
Vicky Fouhy 27.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.3 3.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 68.4% 100.0% 68.4 68.4 1
2 30.0% 100.0% 30.0 30.0 2
3 1.5% 100.0% 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.5 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 4
5 0.0% 0.0 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 100.0% 68.4 30.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 98.3 1.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Colorado 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.8% 1.0 1.0
William and Mary 95.9% 2.0 1.9
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Oregon 92.8% 1.0 0.9
Syracuse 75.6% 1.0 0.8
Notre Dame 74.1% 1.0 0.7
Stanford 68.7% 1.0 0.7
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 47.8% 1.0 0.5
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Boise State 16.2% 1.0 0.2
Mississippi 15.0% 2.0 0.3
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 11.0
Minimum 6.0
Maximum 16.0