Washington
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
49  Katie Flood SR 19:45
133  Amy-Eloise Neale FR 20:10
149  Megan Goethals JR 20:14
164  Maddie Meyers SO 20:16
183  Katie Knight FR 20:20
188  Liberty Miller SR 20:21
199  Justine Johnson SR 20:23
376  Eleanor Fulton SO 20:45
578  Kaylee Flanagan FR 21:05
586  Baylee Mires SO 21:05
752  Erin Johnson SO 21:16
954  Megan Morgan JR 21:30
National Rank #18 of 340
West Region Rank #4 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.2%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 4.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 20.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 79.0%


Regional Champion 6.9%
Top 5 in Regional 91.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Flood Amy-Eloise Neale Megan Goethals Maddie Meyers Katie Knight Liberty Miller Justine Johnson Eleanor Fulton Kaylee Flanagan Baylee Mires Erin Johnson
Bill Dellinger Invitational 10/05 479 19:58 19:51 20:12 20:12 20:25 20:52 21:10 21:13
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 487 19:40 20:03 20:01 20:32 21:06 20:21 21:08 20:32 20:54
Emerald City Open 10/19 21:24
Pac-12 Championships 11/02 495 19:43 20:17 20:30 20:39 20:08 21:19 20:04 22:39 21:16
West Region Championships 11/15 580 19:20 20:31 20:38 20:30 20:05 20:56 21:10
NCAA Championship 11/23 499 20:04 20:16 20:01 20:24 20:19 20:08 20:22





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.2% 15.2 402 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.2 5.3 5.3 5.9 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.4 5.0 4.3 3.4 2.7 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.4 132 6.9 24.7 24.4 18.9 16.5 5.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Flood 97.2% 49.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.0
Amy-Eloise Neale 96.2% 113.0 0.0
Megan Goethals 96.2% 124.2
Maddie Meyers 96.2% 129.7 0.0 0.0
Katie Knight 96.2% 139.9 0.0
Liberty Miller 96.2% 141.5
Justine Johnson 96.2% 148.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Flood 11.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.6 4.0 5.2 6.8 7.1 8.3 10.8 10.8 8.4 7.1 5.2 4.4 3.6 2.3 1.7 1.5 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.6
Amy-Eloise Neale 26.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.3 3.0 2.9 3.5 3.1 3.4 3.9 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.8 4.0
Megan Goethals 30.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.3 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.5 3.1 3.1
Maddie Meyers 32.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.9 2.4 2.4 2.9 2.6
Katie Knight 35.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.8 2.5
Liberty Miller 36.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.7 2.3 2.1 2.3
Justine Johnson 40.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.1 1.4 1.5 2.0 1.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 6.9% 100.0% 6.9 6.9 1
2 24.7% 100.0% 24.7 24.7 2
3 24.4% 100.0% 2.0 14.0 3.9 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 24.4 3
4 18.9% 99.8% 0.9 8.9 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.0 18.9 4
5 16.5% 97.0% 0.6 5.2 3.0 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 16.0 5
6 5.6% 76.9% 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.3 4.3 6
7 1.9% 43.3% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.8 7
8 0.7% 13.9% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.1 8
9 0.2% 9.1% 0.0 0.2 0.0 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 96.2% 6.9 24.7 2.0 14.9 13.5 9.9 6.4 4.8 3.4 2.4 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.9 3.8 31.6 64.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Oregon 92.8% 2.0 1.9
San Francisco 91.9% 1.0 0.9
Cornell 80.6% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 75.6% 1.0 0.8
Notre Dame 74.1% 1.0 0.7
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Stanford 68.7% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 35.7% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 33.7% 2.0 0.7
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
Boise State 16.2% 1.0 0.2
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 10.3
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 16.0