Wisconsin
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
53  Emma-Lisa Murphy SO 19:47
143  Sarah Disanza FR 20:13
262  Molly Hanson SO 20:32
346  Lavinia Jurkiewicz JR 20:43
352  Erin Cawley SR 20:43
384  Theresa Selestow JR 20:46
434  Gabi Anzalone JR 20:51
444  Kelly Whitley SO 20:52
519  Rachel McNally JR 20:59
798  Colleen McNulty JR 21:20
859  Liga Blyholder JR 21:24
1,492  Anne Gregory JR 22:03
National Rank #25 of 340
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 62.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 15.1%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 61.4%
Top 10 in Regional 99.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emma-Lisa Murphy Sarah Disanza Molly Hanson Lavinia Jurkiewicz Erin Cawley Theresa Selestow Gabi Anzalone Kelly Whitley Rachel McNally Colleen McNulty Liga Blyholder
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/27 767 20:08 20:30 20:45 20:44 20:34 20:46 20:40 21:03 20:48 21:20 22:17
Titan Invite 10/04 1227
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 712 20:11 19:58 20:38 21:11 20:43 21:20 20:45 20:56 20:57
Big Ten Championships 11/03 818 20:12 20:34 20:34 20:53 20:56 20:46 20:59 21:21 21:20
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 571 19:51 20:06 20:18 20:25 20:44 20:57 20:34
NCAA Championship 11/23 609 19:35 20:10 20:26 20:30 20:43 20:44 21:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 62.0% 23.5 562 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.7 2.2 3.0 3.6 4.6 5.4 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.2 4.0 4.0 2.8 2.6
Region Championship 100% 5.2 160 0.1 0.3 3.0 28.9 29.0 23.8 10.0 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma-Lisa Murphy 95.6% 57.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8
Sarah Disanza 63.6% 114.8 0.0
Molly Hanson 62.1% 167.2
Lavinia Jurkiewicz 62.0% 193.9
Erin Cawley 62.0% 195.7
Gabi Anzalone 62.0% 211.7
Kelly Whitley 62.0% 213.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma-Lisa Murphy 8.6 4.0 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.8 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.3 5.9 6.2 5.1 4.5 4.4 3.9 3.5 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4
Sarah Disanza 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.8 4.0 4.6 4.2 4.9 4.7 4.9 4.5 4.5 5.1
Molly Hanson 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.4
Lavinia Jurkiewicz 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
Erin Cawley 46.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3
Gabi Anzalone 55.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Kelly Whitley 56.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 3.0% 97.4% 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 3.0 3
4 28.9% 88.3% 0.4 0.8 1.0 2.0 1.9 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.3 2.7 3.1 0.6 3.4 25.5 4
5 29.0% 72.6% 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.4 2.0 2.7 3.5 3.0 3.1 1.4 8.0 21.1 5
6 23.8% 39.8% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.5 2.3 14.3 9.5 6
7 10.0% 25.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.8 7.5 2.5 7
8 3.0% 3.0 8
9 1.1% 1.1 9
10 0.4% 0.4 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 62.0% 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.3 3.7 6.1 6.6 7.7 8.6 7.7 8.7 5.1 38.0 0.4 61.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0