Men - Women
Tournament Championship Summary
2012 - 2013 - 2014



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.


RankSchool Regional ChampionTop 5Top 10Top 20Advance to Nationals
1 Providence Northeast 38.4% 84.9% 97.2% 100.0% 100.0%
2 Arizona West 15.6% 68.3% 93.0% 99.9% 100.0%
3 Arkansas South Central 14.1% 61.3% 87.5% 99.7% 100.0%
4 Michigan Great Lakes 4.2% 33.2% 68.1% 98.1% 100.0%
5 Colorado Mountain 5.6% 38.6% 73.0% 98.6% 100.0%
6 New Mexico Mountain 0.6% 9.1% 34.2% 91.8% 100.0%
7 Michigan State Great Lakes 4.7% 33.4% 67.1% 98.2% 99.9%
8 Georgetown Mid-Atlantic 5.1% 32.9% 66.7% 98.0% 100.0%
9 Butler Great Lakes 3.7% 28.3% 61.7% 97.2% 99.9%
10 Florida State South 2.7% 26.0% 60.6% 97.8% 100.0%
11 Virginia Southeast 2.2% 25.7% 60.8% 97.3% 100.0%
12 Iowa State Midwest 1.0% 16.4% 46.0% 95.3% 100.0%
13 Dartmouth Northeast 0.6% 11.9% 40.4% 95.6% 99.9%
14 William and Mary Southeast 0.7% 9.6% 36.1% 92.2% 97.1%
15 Stanford West 0.1% 2.9% 17.9% 80.1% 89.6%
16 Oregon West 0.2% 3.8% 18.7% 74.7% 94.7%
17 Villanova Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 1.5% 9.9% 73.1% 96.4%
18 Washington West 0.2% 4.6% 20.9% 79.0% 96.2%
19 San Francisco West 0.2% 3.9% 18.2% 74.1% 94.4%
20 Minnesota Midwest 0.1% 3.2% 16.0% 74.0% 100.0%
21 Cornell Northeast 0.1% 1.6% 35.4% 86.7%
22 Arizona State West 0.1% 17.1% 47.0%
23 Syracuse Northeast 0.2% 1.7% 27.4% 83.4%
24 Notre Dame Great Lakes 0.1% 1.1% 22.0% 81.8%
25 Wisconsin Great Lakes 0.4% 15.1% 62.0%
26 Indiana Great Lakes 0.0% 0.2% 14.6% 77.5%
27 Duke Southeast 0.0% 0.3% 6.8% 21.3%
28 Boise State West 0.0% 3.3% 21.5%
29 Florida South 3.0% 35.2%
30 Boston College Northeast 0.0% 0.1% 5.0% 43.9%
31 Cal Poly West 0.0% 3.0% 10.8%
32 Mississippi South 0.1% 17.1%
33 Kentucky Southeast 2.2% 31.9%
34 Harvard Northeast 0.0% 4.5% 46.9%
35 Iona Northeast 0.4% 3.4%
36 North Carolina St. Southeast 1.2% 10.7%
37 West Virginia Mid-Atlantic 0.0% 0.1% 5.6% 44.4%
38 Penn State Mid-Atlantic 0.1% 5.5% 62.0%
39 Princeton Mid-Atlantic 2.3% 54.0%
40 Stony Brook Northeast 0.4% 4.2%
41 Vanderbilt South 0.1% 3.5% 76.7%
42 Portland West 0.4% 2.9%
43 Texas A&M South Central 1.9% 58.5%
44 Virginia Tech Southeast 0.1% 1.3%
45 UC Davis West 0.8% 3.9%
46 Texas South Central 0.1% 8.8%
47 BYU Mountain 0.0% 0.4% 14.6%
48 UCLA West 0.2%
49 New Hampshire Northeast 0.9% 13.7%
50 North Carolina Southeast 0.1%
51 Ohio State Great Lakes 0.0% 2.9%
52 Columbia Northeast 0.2% 6.7%
53 Northern Arizona Mountain 0.2% 2.8%
54 Toledo Great Lakes 0.6% 14.7%
55 Eastern Kentucky Southeast 0.0% 0.8%
56 Furman Southeast
57 Albany Northeast
58 California West 0.0% 0.2%
59 Southern Illinois Midwest 0.0% 0.5%
60 Hampton Southeast 0.3%
61 SMU South Central 0.7% 34.3%
62 Oklahoma State Midwest 0.5%
63 Kansas State Midwest 0.0%
64 Loyola Marymount West 0.2%
65 Alabama South 0.1% 12.6%
66 Boston U. Northeast 0.2%
67 Weber State Mountain 0.0% 0.4%
68 Georgia South 0.1% 8.4%
69 Lamar South Central 1.3%
70 Utah Mountain 0.0%
71 Morgan State Mid-Atlantic 2.8%
72 Central Arkansas South Central
73 Tennessee South 1.9%
74 Baylor South Central 0.1% 4.0%
75 Miami (Ohio) Great Lakes 1.1%
76 Ohio U. Great Lakes
77 Kansas Midwest 0.1%
78 UTSA South Central 2.8%
79 Illinois Midwest
80 UNC-Greensboro Southeast
81 Bradley Midwest
82 Brown Northeast 0.1%
83 Eastern Michigan Great Lakes
84 Sacramento St. West 0.0%
85 Missouri Midwest 0.0%
86 Illinois State Midwest
87 Montana State Mountain 0.0%
88 Xavier (Ohio) Great Lakes 0.1%
89 Wake Forest Southeast 0.1%
90 Central Michigan Great Lakes 0.0% 0.5%
91 Air Force Mountain 0.1%
92 Connecticut Northeast
93 Arkansas State South Central
94 Miss State South 3.3%
95 Louisville Southeast 0.0%
96 Idaho West
97 Richmond Southeast
98 UC Santa Barbara West
99 Lipscomb South 0.0% 1.1%
100 Chattanooga South
101 Washington St. West
102 Tulsa Midwest 0.1%
103 UMKC Midwest
104 Oregon State West
105 Duquesne Mid-Atlantic 0.4%
106 Loyola (Ill.) Midwest
107 Vermont Northeast
108 Northwestern Midwest 0.0%
109 UAB South
110 Auburn South 0.0%
111 Penn Mid-Atlantic 0.1%
112 Elon Southeast
113 North Texas South Central
114 Gonzaga West
115 Saint Louis Midwest
116 Yale Northeast 0.1%
117 Youngstown St. Great Lakes
118 Nevada Mountain
119 Purdue Great Lakes 0.1%
120 Delaware Mid-Atlantic
121 Rice South Central
122 North Dakota St. Midwest 0.0%
123 South Carolina Southeast
124 UCF South
125 Bryant Northeast
126 Western Kentucky Southeast
127 Texas Tech Mountain
128 Utah State Mountain
129 Sacred Heart Northeast
130 Oklahoma Midwest
131 Wyoming Mountain
132 George Mason Southeast
133 Colorado St. Mountain
134 Quinnipiac Northeast
135 Wichita State Midwest
136 Clemson Southeast
137 Lehigh Mid-Atlantic
138 Fresno State West
139 Coastal Carolina Southeast
140 Marquette Great Lakes
141 La Salle Mid-Atlantic
142 Illinois-Chicago Midwest
143 Long Beach St. West
144 Santa Clara West
145 Northeastern Northeast
146 Mid. Tenn. State South
147 UC Riverside West
148 Navy Mid-Atlantic
149 East Tenn. St. South
150 Southern Miss. South
151 Belmont South
152 James Madison Southeast
153 Dayton Great Lakes
154 St. Joseph's (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
155 Howard Mid-Atlantic
156 Northern Colorado Mountain
157 North Dakota Midwest
158 South Dakota Midwest
159 South Dakota St. Midwest
160 Bowling Green Great Lakes
161 Nebraska Midwest
162 Texas-Arlington South Central
163 Iowa Midwest
164 Akron Great Lakes
165 Appalachian State Southeast
166 Portland State West
167 Georgia State South
168 Georgia Tech South
169 Seattle U. West
170 Pittsburgh Mid-Atlantic
171 Liberty Southeast
172 Evansville Great Lakes
173 IUPUI Great Lakes
174 East Carolina Southeast
175 Southern Utah Mountain
176 Maryland Mid-Atlantic
177 Army Northeast
178 Charlotte Southeast
179 Eastern Washington West
180 Loyola (Md.) Mid-Atlantic
181 Buffalo Northeast
182 Montana Mountain
183 Hartford Northeast
184 Stephen F. Austin South Central
185 SE Missouri Midwest
186 Idaho State Mountain
187 Bucknell Mid-Atlantic
188 American Mid-Atlantic
189 South Alabama South
190 San Diego West
191 North Florida South
192 UMass Amherst Northeast
193 Cal St. Fullerton West
194 Utah Valley Mountain
195 Florida Gulf Coast South
196 Pepperdine West
197 Jacksonville South
198 Holy Cross Northeast
199 Drake Midwest
200 Eastern Illinois Midwest
201 Towson Mid-Atlantic
202 Indiana State Great Lakes
203 Lafayette Mid-Atlantic
204 UMBC Mid-Atlantic
205 Monmouth Mid-Atlantic
206 Sam Houston St. South Central
207 Northern Illinois Midwest
208 San Diego St. West
209 UNC-Asheville Southeast
210 Texas A&M-CC South Central
211 Campbell Southeast
212 Mount St. Mary's Mid-Atlantic
213 Rutgers Mid-Atlantic
214 New Mexico St. Mountain
215 Oakland Great Lakes
216 Norfolk State Southeast
217 Kent State Great Lakes
218 Austin Peay South
219 Fordham Northeast
220 Marist Northeast
221 Western Michigan Great Lakes
222 Northern Iowa Midwest
223 Murray State Southeast
224 High Point Southeast
225 St. Mary's (Cal.) West
226 Memphis South
227 South Florida South
228 IPFW Great Lakes
229 Col. of Charleston Southeast
230 Maine Northeast
231 Florida Atlantic South
232 Florida A&M South
233 Samford South
234 Davidson Southeast
235 Morehead State Southeast
236 UNC-Wilmington Southeast
237 Wis.-Milwaukee Great Lakes
238 Delaware State Mid-Atlantic
239 UC Irvine West
240 Maryland-Eastern Shore Mid-Atlantic
241 Winthrop Southeast
242 Canisius Northeast
243 Rhode Island Northeast
244 Texas State South Central
245 DePaul Midwest
246 USC West
247 Binghamton Northeast
248 Rider Mid-Atlantic
249 Ball State Great Lakes
250 Jacksonville St. South
251 St. Bonaventure Northeast
252 LSU South Central
253 George Washington Mid-Atlantic
254 Robert Morris Mid-Atlantic
255 USC Upstate Southeast
256 Miami South
257 Mercer South
258 Creighton Midwest
259 Alabama State South
260 Houston Baptist South Central
261 Fairfield Northeast
262 SIU-Edwardsville Midwest
263 Cincinnati Great Lakes
264 Temple Mid-Atlantic
265 Central Connecticut Northeast
266 UL-Lafayette South Central
267 Tulane South Central
268 San Jose St. West
269 Fairleigh Dickinson Mid-Atlantic
270 St. Francis (Pa.) Mid-Atlantic
271 Valparaiso Great Lakes
272 McNeese State South Central
273 Wagner Northeast
274 Western Carolina Southeast
275 Texas-Pan American South Central
276 UNLV West
277 Radford Southeast
278 Cleveland St. Great Lakes
279 Troy South
280 Marshall Mid-Atlantic
281 VCU Southeast
282 Wis.-Green Bay Great Lakes
283 Houston South Central
284 Manhattan Northeast
285 Pacific West
286 Kennesaw State South
287 Wofford Southeast
288 Citadel Southeast
289 Va. Military Institute Southeast
290 Wright State Great Lakes
291 Colgate Northeast
292 N.C. Central Southeast
293 Stetson South
294 Cal St. Northridge West
295 Niagara Northeast
296 Hawaii West
297 Charleston Southern Southeast
298 Nicholls State South Central
299 Western Illinois Midwest
300 Tennessee Tech South
301 South Carolina St. Southeast
302 Hofstra Northeast
303 Missouri State Midwest
304 Siena Northeast
305 St. John's Northeast
306 Seton Hall Mid-Atlantic
307 Arkansas-Little Rock South Central
308 Tennessee-Martin South
309 Longwood Southeast
310 Florida Int'l South
311 St. Francis (N.Y.) Northeast
312 UTEP Mountain
313 TCU South Central
314 Mississippi Valley South
315 New Jersey Institute Mid-Atlantic
316 UL-Monroe South Central
317 Cal St. Bakersfield West
318 New Orleans South Central
319 Georgia Southern South
320 Texas Southern South Central
321 Coppin State Mid-Atlantic
322 Bethune-Cookman South
323 Grambling South Central
324 Prairie View South Central
325 Alcorn State South
326 N. Carolina A&T Southeast
327 Gardner-Webb Southeast
328 Jackson State South
329 Oral Roberts Midwest
330 Southern South Central
331 Presbyterian Southeast
332 Alabama A&M South
333 Tennessee St. South
334 Savannah State South
335 St. Peter's Mid-Atlantic
336 Arkansas-Pine Bluff South Central
337 Chicago State Midwest
338 Louisiana Tech South Central
339 Northwestern St. South Central
340 SE Louisiana South Central
341 100.0%
342 100.0%
343 100.0%
344 100.0%
345 100.0%
346 100.0%
347 100.0%
348 100.0%
349 100.0%
350 100.0%
351 100.0%
352 100.0%
353 100.0%
354 100.0%
355 100.0%
356 100.0%
357 100.0%
358 100.0%
359 100.0%
360 100.0%
361 100.0%
362 100.0%
363 100.0%
364 100.0%
365 100.0%
366 100.0%
367 100.0%
368 100.0%
369 100.0%
370 100.0%
371 100.0%
372 100.0%
373 100.0%
374 100.0%
375 100.0%
376 100.0%
377 100.0%
378 100.0%
379 100.0%
380 100.0%
381 100.0%
382 100.0%
383 100.0%
384 100.0%
385 100.0%
386 100.0%
387 100.0%
388 100.0%
389 100.0%
390 100.0%
391 100.0%
392 100.0%
393 100.0%
394 100.0%
395 100.0%
396 100.0%
397 100.0%
398 100.0%
399 100.0%
400 100.0%