Lipscomb
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
204  Madelin Talbert JR 20:24
414  Paige Stoner FR 20:49
513  Sally Larson SO 20:57
531  Dani Walker SR 20:59
581  Barbara Lee Ball SO 21:03
773  Minna Fields JR 21:17
824  Kayla Montgomery FR 21:21
1,314  Kaitlyn Llewellyn SR 21:52
1,333  Kayla Droessler SR 21:53
1,520  Kendra Lobley SR 22:05
2,113  Katie Sperry FR 22:41
National Rank #74 of 341
South Region Rank #7 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.0%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 64.8%
Top 10 in Regional 98.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Madelin Talbert Paige Stoner Sally Larson Dani Walker Barbara Lee Ball Minna Fields Kayla Montgomery Kaitlyn Llewellyn Kayla Droessler Kendra Lobley Katie Sperry
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/26 975 20:29 20:46 20:56 21:48 20:52 21:11 21:12 21:55 22:00 22:24 22:41
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/04 975 20:16 20:47 21:13 20:56 21:29 21:17 21:13 21:50 21:48 21:56
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 852 20:02 20:43 20:56 20:46 20:49 21:23 21:45
Atlantic Sun Championships 11/01 1029 20:47 20:52 20:59 20:53 21:08 21:28 21:29 22:00
South Region Championships 11/14 974 20:30 20:59 20:42 20:57 21:02 21:06 21:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.0% 29.6 696 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5
Region Championship 100% 5.2 192 0.2 0.8 19.4 24.5 19.9 13.1 9.3 5.6 3.7 2.4 1.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelin Talbert 18.1% 128.6 0.0
Paige Stoner 1.2% 176.5
Sally Larson 1.1% 190.8
Dani Walker 1.1% 195.3
Barbara Lee Ball 1.0% 208.0
Minna Fields 1.0% 228.7
Kayla Montgomery 1.0% 235.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelin Talbert 14.5 0.1 1.3 2.4 3.3 4.3 4.3 4.8 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.9 4.9 4.8 4.7 3.8 3.7 2.6 2.8 3.1 2.2 1.9
Paige Stoner 33.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
Sally Larson 43.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.4
Dani Walker 45.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.0
Barbara Lee Ball 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7
Minna Fields 69.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Kayla Montgomery 73.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 0.8% 100.0% 0.8 0.8 2
3 19.4% 0.2% 0.0 19.4 0.0 3
4 24.5% 0.1% 0.0 24.5 0.0 4
5 19.9% 19.9 5
6 13.1% 13.1 6
7 9.3% 9.3 7
8 5.6% 5.6 8
9 3.7% 3.7 9
10 2.4% 2.4 10
11 1.1% 1.1 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 1.0% 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 99.0 1.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Yale 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 2.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Rice 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Mid. Tenn. State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 4.0