Michigan
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
15  Erin Finn SO 19:24
37  Shannon Osika JR 19:42
54  Brook Handler SR 19:50
126  Megan Weschler SR 20:10
211  Anna Pasternak JR 20:25
212  Taylor Pogue SR 20:26
244  Gina Sereno FR 20:31
245  Jaimie Phelan FR 20:31
247  Laura Addison JR 20:31
292  Taylor Manett JR 20:36
387  Alex Leptich SR 20:46
505  Devon Hoppe JR 20:56
551  Corinne Florie FR 21:01
614  Jamie Morrissey FR 21:05
National Rank #6 of 341
Great Lakes Region Rank #3 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.7%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 9.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 53.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 93.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erin Finn Shannon Osika Brook Handler Megan Weschler Anna Pasternak Taylor Pogue Gina Sereno Jaimie Phelan Laura Addison Taylor Manett Alex Leptich
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/26 294 19:21 19:35 19:47 20:00 20:18 20:52 20:21 20:38
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 368 19:27 19:55 19:56 20:10 20:29 20:32 20:14
Big Ten Conference Championships 11/02 483 19:38 19:45 20:24 20:23 20:29 20:21 20:57 20:41
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 581 19:40 20:12 20:34 20:17 20:35 20:30 21:06
NCAA Championship 11/22 590 20:03 20:09 20:17 20:49 20:23 20:32 20:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.7% 19.4 487 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.7 1.9 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.6 4.5 4.7 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.5 5.2 4.9 5.0 4.5 3.9 4.1 3.3 2.9 2.4 1.9
Region Championship 100% 3.6 125 0.0 8.5 53.0 22.4 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brook Handler 99.1% 57.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8
Megan Weschler 96.7% 111.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Anna Pasternak 96.7% 154.3
Gina Sereno 96.7% 167.3
Jaimie Phelan 96.7% 167.4
Laura Addison 96.7% 169.2
Taylor Manett 96.7% 180.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brook Handler 10.3 0.2 0.6 2.1 4.3 6.6 7.7 8.0 8.9 9.3 9.1 8.8 6.6 5.5 5.0 3.8 3.2 2.4 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.4
Megan Weschler 19.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.0 3.8 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.4 6.1 6.3 5.7 5.8 5.8 4.4 4.2 3.5
Anna Pasternak 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.4 3.1 2.5 4.1 3.8 4.4
Gina Sereno 34.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.1
Jaimie Phelan 34.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.7 2.4 2.5
Laura Addison 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 2.0 2.6 2.4 2.6
Taylor Manett 39.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.6 2.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 8.5% 100.0% 8.5 8.5 2
3 53.0% 100.0% 13.1 17.3 12.4 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.0 3
4 22.4% 99.9% 1.5 4.6 4.4 3.6 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.0 22.3 4
5 9.1% 95.2% 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 8.6 5
6 4.7% 76.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 3.6 6
7 1.6% 34.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.6 7
8 0.5% 4.3% 0.0 0.4 0.0 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 96.7% 0.0 8.5 13.1 18.9 17.2 10.8 6.6 4.2 2.9 3.0 2.3 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.9 3.3 8.6 88.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Colorado 99.1% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 98.1% 1.0 1.0
Baylor 96.5% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina St. 88.8% 1.0 0.9
Ohio State 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 82.3% 1.0 0.8
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Providence 53.2% 1.0 0.5
Dartmouth 48.8% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 19.9% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 2.0 0.3
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Yale 2.9% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 1.0% 2.0 0.0
California 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Rice 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 9.0
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 15.0