Minnesota
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
98  Liz Berkholtz JR 20:03
154  Kaila Urick JR 20:15
156  Becca Dyson JR 20:16
263  Danielle Anderson FR 20:32
460  Bailey Ness FR 20:53
466  Haley Johnson SO 20:54
624  Jamie Piepenburg SO 21:06
743  Kate Bucknam JR 21:15
839  Taylor Mikkalson SO 21:22
948  Stacey Swatek JR 21:29
1,014  Megan Bailey JR 21:34
1,043  Madeline Strandemo FR 21:36
1,114  Ashlie Decker SR 21:40
1,456  Rebecca Rethwisch JR 22:01
1,489  Anne Ferguson JR 22:04
1,648  Andie Zeman JR 22:12
1,651  Marnie Kinnaird SR 22:12
1,813  Melissa Cabak SO 22:23
1,916  Hannah Trasser JR 22:29
2,040  Violet Weibel FR 22:37
2,178  Lauren Domski JR 22:45
2,878  Naomi Ollila FR 23:44
National Rank #31 of 341
Midwest Region Rank #2 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.1%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 26.6%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 99.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Liz Berkholtz Kaila Urick Becca Dyson Danielle Anderson Bailey Ness Haley Johnson Jamie Piepenburg Kate Bucknam Taylor Mikkalson Stacey Swatek Megan Bailey
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 516 20:13 19:54 20:57 20:02 20:16 20:27 20:39 20:41 21:16 21:30 21:39
SDSU Classic 10/04 653 20:14 20:14 20:05 20:27 20:53 20:52 21:10 20:56 21:26 21:30 21:31
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 603 19:45 20:12 19:58 20:33 21:03 21:10 21:36
Jim Drews/Tori Neubauer Invitational 10/18 1282
Big Ten Conference Championships 11/02 704 20:06 20:26 20:12 20:40 21:40 20:48 21:17 21:15
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 707 20:00 20:08 20:26 20:36 21:10 21:20
NCAA Championship 11/22 802 20:01 20:44 20:20 20:51 21:01 21:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.1% 23.9 567 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.5 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.2 5.3 5.6 6.0 6.3 6.6 7.6 7.7 8.7 8.8
Region Championship 100% 2.3 117 0.1 80.6 13.3 4.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liz Berkholtz 98.1% 90.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Kaila Urick 98.1% 125.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Becca Dyson 98.1% 126.4
Danielle Anderson 98.1% 172.1
Bailey Ness 98.1% 215.7
Haley Johnson 98.1% 217.5
Jamie Piepenburg 98.1% 233.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liz Berkholtz 9.1 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.0 7.8 9.4 11.8 11.2 10.0 8.3 6.7 5.1 4.3 3.8 2.6 2.3 1.7 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.2
Kaila Urick 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.5 3.6 5.4 5.9 6.4 6.9 7.1 6.7 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.2 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.1 1.9 1.6
Becca Dyson 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.3 4.5 5.8 6.3 7.2 7.1 6.2 6.1 6.2 4.9 4.3 4.4 3.7 3.5 2.6 2.9 2.2 1.9
Danielle Anderson 26.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.5
Bailey Ness 49.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.9
Haley Johnson 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.6
Jamie Piepenburg 67.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 80.6% 100.0% 80.6 80.6 2
3 13.3% 99.8% 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.3 3
4 4.1% 99.5% 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.1 4
5 1.3% 1.3 5
6 0.4% 0.4 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 98.1% 0.1 80.6 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 80.7 17.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 97.6% 1.0 1.0
Iona 84.9% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
Arizona State 64.7% 1.0 0.6
UCLA 62.5% 1.0 0.6
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Providence 53.2% 1.0 0.5
William and Mary 52.5% 1.0 0.5
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Dartmouth 48.8% 1.0 0.5
BYU 42.7% 2.0 0.9
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
California 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 8.7
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 13.0