Princeton
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
23  Megan Curham SO 19:31
128  Kathryn Fluehr SO 20:10
214  Natalie Rathjen FR 20:26
429  Lindsay Eysenbach SR 20:50
535  Maria Seykora JR 20:59
537  Gabrielle Forrest FR 20:59
604  Erika Fluehr JR 21:05
671  Kathryn Little JR 21:09
713  Kaitlin Hanss SO 21:13
817  Alexandra Markovich SO 21:20
950  Melissa Reed FR 21:30
1,119  Melinda Renuart FR 21:41
1,272  Birdie Hutton JR 21:50
1,369  Lydon Kersting FR 21:56
1,444  Amanda Chang SO 22:00
1,646  Jackie Nicholas SR 22:12
National Rank #33 of 341
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 28.2%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 7.4%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 98.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Megan Curham Kathryn Fluehr Natalie Rathjen Lindsay Eysenbach Maria Seykora Gabrielle Forrest Erika Fluehr Kathryn Little Kaitlin Hanss Alexandra Markovich Melissa Reed
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 698 19:43 20:00 20:31 20:59 21:04 20:59 21:04 22:02 21:22
Princeton Invitational 10/18 1195 21:06 21:40
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 582 19:20 19:55 20:19 20:48 20:45 21:19 21:08
Ivy League Championships 11/01 670 19:44 20:17 20:20 20:47 20:46 21:04 21:41 20:51 21:26 21:19
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/14 772 19:48 20:44 20:36 20:47 21:40 20:52 20:44
NCAA Championship 11/22 19:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 28.2% 23.7 558 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.4 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.7 2.3 1.9 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.5
Region Championship 100% 3.7 116 0.0 3.0 35.1 49.8 10.9 1.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Curham 100% 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.8 2.5 3.3 3.1 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.6
Kathryn Fluehr 61.9% 104.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Natalie Rathjen 33.7% 147.2
Lindsay Eysenbach 28.2% 206.8
Maria Seykora 28.2% 223.5
Gabrielle Forrest 28.2% 222.2
Erika Fluehr 28.2% 229.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Curham 2.2 22.3 23.2 19.3 16.1 8.4 4.1 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kathryn Fluehr 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.6 3.9 4.9 5.2 6.4 7.0 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.6 6.3 5.3 4.5 4.5 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.0
Natalie Rathjen 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.3 3.7 4.7 4.8 5.3 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.2 4.2
Lindsay Eysenbach 36.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.4 2.2 2.3
Maria Seykora 45.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7
Gabrielle Forrest 45.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7
Erika Fluehr 51.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 3.0% 100.0% 3.0 3.0 2
3 35.1% 37.0% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 5.1 22.1 13.0 3
4 49.8% 22.4% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.7 38.6 11.2 4
5 10.9% 9.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 9.9 1.1 5
6 1.2% 1.2 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 28.2% 0.0 3.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.2 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.3 8.0 71.8 3.0 25.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 96.5% 1.0 1.0
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.4% 2.0 0.1
Lamar 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 2.0 0.1
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Yale 2.9% 2.0 0.1
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Rice 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.5
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 8.0